Texas Tech travels to Stillwater for a Big 12 matchup against Oklahoma State on Saturday night. Overall, the Red Raiders enter at 8-1 overall and 5-1 in conference play. They are ranked around No. 10, after a 53-48 College Football Odds win over West Virginia on November 7. That game featured over 1,200 combined yards and more than 100 points.
Thomas Castellanos threw five touchdowns in that game. The offense has averaged nearly 38 points per game. Additionally, J’Koby Williams has rushed for 954 yards with seven scores.
Specifically, Texas Tech has relied on a balanced attack that ranks near the top third nationally in total offense. However, the defense has allowed more than 24 points per game. It gave up 48 points and nearly 600 yards in the most recent outing.
Oklahoma State sits at 6-3 overall and 4-2 in the Big 12 after a 66-28 road win over Kansas State on November 7. Drew Mestemaker has thrown for 2,962 yards with 29 touchdowns. In turn, the Cowboys scored on their first six red-zone possessions in that game. While Caleb Hawkins rushed for 175 yards and three scores.
Justin Bowick leads the receiving corps with 790 yards and 10 touchdowns. Oklahoma State has averaged nearly 44 points per game and ranks near the top nationally in total offense.
The defense has been less consistent. For example, it is allowing more than 27 points per game. But the recent offensive explosion gives the home team momentum heading into a primetime contest against a ranked opponent.
Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys NCAAF Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Saturday, November 14, 2026, with kickoff set for 9:30 p.m. Eastern Time |
|---|---|
| Location: | Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Oklahoma. |
| TV Coverage: | ESPN |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | +3½ ( -115 ) | 73 ( -110 ) | +145 |  |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys | -3½ ( -105 ) | 73 ( -110 ) | -164 | |
| ||||
Texas Tech visits Oklahoma State on Saturday, November 14, 2026, with kickoff set for 9:30 p.m. Eastern Time at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, Oklahoma. The Online Betting matchup airs on ESPN in the United States.
Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys Matchup Analysis
Oklahoma State holds a clear edge in offensive efficiency metrics that could prove decisive even against a higher-ranked Texas Tech team. The Cowboys rank near the top nationally in adjusted EPA per play and success rate. Thus, they convert standard downs at a high clip and generate positive expected points added on both rushing and passing attempts.
Their third-down conversion rate sits around 40 percent. It is supported by a passing attack that has produced explosive gains on intermediate routes. The red-zone scoring percentage has hovered near 90 percent in recent games.
This College Football Betting efficiency profile allows Oklahoma State to sustain drives and score in bunches. Even when the defense gives up yardage. In turn, creating a different challenge than the raw yardage totals suggest.
Texas Tech’s offense has been solid but less efficient per play. As a result, they rank outside the top 40 in EPA per play and success rate, while converting third downs at roughly 38-40 percent.
The Red Raiders generate strong rushing production and have shown the ability to create explosive plays. Yet their early-down success rate has been more variable. In particular, on the road. Also, they have occasionally stalled when forced into longer third downs.
Defensively, Texas Tech ranks better in stopping the run and limiting points allowed. But the unit has allowed elevated yards per play against recent opponents. Additionally, it has struggled to generate consistent havoc on third downs.
SBG Free Picks
In conclusion, Wise Guys are betting on Oklahoma State and over the total.
The Cowboys’ offensive efficiency edge in EPA per play and success rate is an asset. So too is a home environment. Finally, these are two of the most explosive offenses in the land.
SBG Best Bet: Oklahoma State and Over the Total.