Last year was the first SMU 10-win season since 1984. Coach Sonny Dykes has always been known for prolific passing attacks. Quarterback Shane Buechele found the perfect offense to fit his skill set. Dykes found the right QB to plug into his playbook. SMU finished with a nice betting on College Football profit in 2019. Further, the Mustangs peaked at 15th in the national rankings. It was a tremendous resurgence of the famed “Death Penalty” program. By contrast, Texas State has wallowed with three wins or less for five straight seasons. Bobcat fans are still dreaming of their first bowl.
SMU Mustangs vs. Texas State Bobcats
| Date and Time: | Saturday, September 5, 2020, 4:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Bobcat Stadium, San Marcos, Texas |
| SMU vs. Texas State TV Coverage: | ESPN |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | -22 (-110) | 70½ (-110) | -1500 |  |
| Texas State | +22 (-110) | 70½ (-110) | +1000 | |
| ||||
SMU Mustangs vs. Texas State Bobcats SBG Odds Overview
Of course, the Mustangs are a big public offshore betting choice. Many casual college football gamblers don’t even know Texas State exists. There is no record of success. Or national recognition. Counter to that is a Mustangs team that caught national attention in 2019. SMU’s success and high national climb made headlines. So did a Saturday Night national TV game at Memphis. Casual fans remember such things. Especially when such teams are playing a “nobody.” Second-year coach Jake Spavital is unknown compared to Dykes.
SMU Mustangs Team Overview
Senior quarterback Shane Buechele is a transfer from Texas. Correlate how Dykes drew out his ability. Buechele posted a 148.8 passer rating with 3939 yards and a 34/10 touchdown to interception ratio. WR Reggie Roberson Jr averaged 18.7 yards per catch with six touchdowns last year. TE Kyle Granson is an All-Conference candidate after catching 43 passes for 16.8 yards per catch and nine TDs.
Texas State Bobcats Team Overview
Coach Jake Spavital inherited a real mess of a program taking over in 2019. He has nowhere near the talent level of SMU and needs time to build his own roster and culture. Presently he is playing shorthanded.
SMU Mustangs and Texas State Bobcats Betting Trends
The Mustangs are:
- 5-11 against the spread in their last 16 away games
- 4-1-1 over the total on the road
- 5-4 vs. the line in their last nine games as chalk
- 9-2-1 over the total when favored
- 6-5 on the board as a favorite of 17 or more points
- 9-3 over the total when favored by 17 or more points
- 47-17 winners over Texas State as 17.5-point chalk in 2019
- Over the total paid in last year’s game
The Bobcats are:
- 2-8 against the spread as a dog
- 2-10 under the total when getting points
- 2-4 vs. the odds when getting 17 or more points as dog
- 2-12 under the total as the dog of 17 or more points
- 6-13-1 on the board at home
- 2-7 under the total in home games
SMU Mustangs vs. Texas State Bobcats SBG Free Picks
As was previously noted Texas State hasn’t been a reliable Betting on College Football dog. And they were blown off the field against SMU last year. SMU should be able to name the score. Further, Texas State lacks the offense to take advantage of the Mustangs suspect defense.
SMU vs. Texas State Best Bet: SMU Mustangs