Accordingly, former New England Patriots legendary head coach Bill Belichick will make his debut as a college football head coach Monday night. The North Carolina Tar Heels against the TCU Horned Frogs. North Carolina faced its share of College Football lines criticism for firing Mack Brown, age 73, at the end of a mediocre 2024 campaign. Yet they went on to hire Belichick as his replacement despite being the same age. Why will one older man have a better shot at success than the former one? The answer is that North Carolina is investing more in Belichick’s program.
TCU Horned Frogs at North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAF Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Monday, September 1, 2025, 8 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC |
| TV Coverage: | ESPN |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | -3½ -105 | 56 -115 | -160 |  |
| North Carolina | +3½ -115 | 56 -105 | +140 | |
| ||||
TCU Horned Frogs Team Overview
The Frogs started 2024 just 3-3 because of a mostly turgid defense. That meant they had gone 8-11 in their past 19 games. But they then won six of their last seven. The offense found a nice online betting cruising altitude. And then Andy Avalos’ defense went from allowing an average of 37 points over its first five FBS games. Instead, it was down to just 19 over its last seven.
Namely, QB Josh Hoover raised his game with 3,949 yards, 27 touchdowns, and a 67% completion rate last year. He threw eight of his 10 interceptions in a glitchy five-game midseason span. But he was mostly safe down the stretch. He’ll have an experienced line in front of him.
North Carolina Tar Heels Team Overview
The North Carolina offense and its skill corps are terribly unproven. Meanwhile, the defense is almost starting over from scratch. Sixteen defenders saw at least 200 snaps last year, and only three return. While Belichick is synonymous with good defense, it might take UNC a little while to develop a solid defense.
It would be inaccurate to say that college football saved its best game for last in Week 1. But it is fair to say that no College Football odds matchup will draw as much interest. Also, the Frogs and Heels will draw massive betting action.
Gambling action will be intense for this matchup, the final game of Week 1. Bill Belichick has made plenty of news, not always for the right reasons. Still, he is considered to be the GOAT of NFL coaching.
TCU at North Carolina SBG Free Picks
North Carolina may draw late action from gamblers for Bill Belichick’s first game as head coach. Certainly, the Tar Heels and the Hoodie will draw plenty of casual sector attention that could be reflected in the final price. By contrast, sharps and bargain hunters may stick with TCU as a team that is being ignored by the masses. The casual sector will not want much to do with a TCU team that they know little about and consistently ignore.
In this situation, this is the only game scheduled for Monday. Thus, TCU and North Carolina will have the full attention of the entire football world. Even as a small favorite, TCU may prove to be the bargain. North Carolina has experienced significant roster fluctuation and undergone a massive transformation in playbooks, lineups, and culture.
TCU at North Carolina SBG Best Bet: TCU Horned Frogs.