Head coach Mark Dantonio and Michigan State have had two weeks to stew over the Madison Massacre. Wisconsin mauled the Spartans 38-0 in an NCAA Football betting shocker. While the Spartans were eight-point dogs their lack of competitive fire and helplessness stunned all. By contrast, Penn State has emerged as a surprise college football playoff contender. New starting quarterback Sean Clifford is lighting it up. Just as important the Nittany Lions defense is among the best in the land. But is PSU in a letdown spot after Saturday night national TV wins at Iowa and at home against Michigan?
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan State Spartans
| Date and Time: | Saturday, October 26, 2019, 3:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Michigan |
| Penn State Vs. Michigan State TV Coverage: | ABC |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | -6 (-110) | 44 (-110) | -235 |  |
| Michigan State | +6 (-110) | 44 (-110) | +195 | |
| ||||
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan State Spartans Overview
Penn State has an offshore betting record of 7-0 straight up, 4-3 against the spread and 3-4 under the total. Last week the Nittany Lions held on for a 28-21 win over Michigan as 7.5-point home overlays. PSU ranks 11th for scoring offense and third for points allowed.
By contrast, Michigan State is 4-3 straight up, 2-5 against the spread and 3-4 under the total. MSU is coming off a bye that followed an utterly humiliating 38-0 loss at Wisconsin. Of great concern is an offense that ranks 100th in the nation. Defensively the Spartans rank 22nd in the land.
Key Nittany Lions: QB Sean Clifford (1742 YDS, 63% COMP, 9.5 AVG, 16 TD, 2 INT, 12 SACK, 169.1 RTG), RB Noah Cain (62 ATT, 329 YDS, 5.3 AVG, 6 TD), WR KJ Hamler (32 REC, 563 YDS, 17.6 AVG, 7 TD), PK Jake Pinegar (37-37 XP, 5-6 FG), DE Shaka Toney (20 TACKLES, 5.5 SACKS)
Key Spartans: QB Brian Lewerke (1596 YDS, 57.5% COMP, 7.0 AVG, 11 TD, 3 INT, 10 SACK, 129.5 RTG), RB Elijah Collins (98 ATT, 492 YDS, 5.0 AVG, 3 TD), WR Darrell Stewart Jr (46 REC, 683 YDS, 14.8 AVG, 4 TD)
Penn State vs. Michigan State ATS Stats
The Nittany Lions are:
- 10-5 against the spread in their last 15 away games
- 6-4 over the total on the road
- 1-5 on the board against the Spartans
- 7-2 over the total head to head with Michigan State
- 9-5 vs. the line at Big Ten opponents
- 5-4 over the total when visiting the Big Ten
The Spartans are:
- 2-10 against the spread in their last 12 games at Spartan Stadium
- 2-6 under the total at home
- 6-3 on the board when hosting Penn State
- 8-1 over the total at Spartan Stadium with the Nittany Lions
- 1-6 vs. the number when hosting Big Ten opponents
- 3-9 under the total at Spartan Stadium against Big Ten teams
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAA Football Betting Picks
In this situation, we have sharp contrasts for the NCAA Football Betting value. However, the difference is the terrible Michigan State offense. Sparty simply lacks the weapons to keep up with Penn State. Additionally, the Penn State defense travels well. Most MSU fans have checked out and the atmosphere should be sterile.
Penn State Vs. Michigan State NCAA Football Betting Pick: Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State Vs. Michigan State NCAA Football Betting Score Prediction: Penn State 27, Michigan State 17