In the lead-up to Friday’s Egg Bowl, there was uncertainty about Ole Miss head coach Lane Kiffin. Kiffin was said to have visited LSU and Florida regarding their vacant HC positions, which are reportedly better than his Ole Miss gig. Finally, Kiffin and Ole Miss said they will announce their plans after Friday’s Egg Bowl. Now comes a rivalry matchup at Mississippi State. Hail State has had a frustrating season of close calls against better opponents. Yet, Miss State can clinch a bowl bid with a College Football lines win over its hated archrival.
Ole Miss Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Date and Time: | Friday, November 28, 2025, Noon ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, MS |
| TV Coverage: | ABC |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mississippi | -7 (-115) | 63½ (-108) | -285 |  |
| Mississippi State | +7 (-105) | 63½ (-112) | +230 | |
| ||||
Ole Miss at Miss State Betting Odds Analysis
Bargain hunters will look hard at a fighting Mississippi State team that has been one of the better values in college football. The Bulldogs are highly profitable because casual bettors tend to overlook them. Ole Miss will draw the square money based on its record and the probability of a College Football Playoff berth, pending an Egg Bowl win.
Ole Miss Rebels Team Overview
Last game, the Ole Miss Rebels won 34-24 against the Florida Gators as 10-point home favorites. The game went over the total of 53.5. As a result, Ole Miss is 10-1 straight up, 6-4-1 against the spread, and 6-5 over/under the offshore bookmaker total.
Ole Miss ranks 4th for total offense, 7th for passing, 32nd for rushing, 14th for scoring, and 54th for fewest turnovers committed. In comparison, Ole Miss ranks 28th for total defense, 20th vs. the pass, 53rd vs. the rush, 27th for fewest points allowed, and 102nd for takeaways.
Lately, Ole Miss has covered 2-1-1 out of its most recent four games. Ole Miss went under the total in two of its last three matchups.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Team Overview
Last game, the Mississippi State Bulldogs lost 49-27 against the Missouri Tigers as 7-point road dogs. The game went over a total of 50. Now, Miss State is 5-6 straight up, 8-3 against the spread, and 6-5 over/under the College Football Betting total.
Overall, Miss State ranks 63rd for total offense, 50th for passing, 75th for rushing, 44th for scoring, and 93rd for fewest turnovers committed. Mississippi State ranks 87th for total defense, 47th vs. the pass, 119th vs. the rush, 94th for fewest points allowed, and 19th for takeaways.
Lately, Mississippi State has covered one out of its most recent three games. The Bulldogs went over the total in four of their last four matchups.
Ole Miss at Miss State Betting Trends
Ole Miss covered the spread in only four of its most recent six games. In turn, the Rebels went over the total in four of their last five away tilts.
Miss State, on the other hand, has proven to be a good domestic wager. Hail State covered the spread in five of their most recent six home tilts. In 15 of their previous 19 home games, the Bulldogs exceeded the total.
Hail State has dominated the payout window in the Rebels vs. Bulldogs series. Ole Miss covered only one of the last seven meetings against Mississippi State. Only three of the last 19 meetings between the Bulldogs and Rebels went over the total.
Specifically at Mississippi State, the Rebels have offered more value. Mississippi State covered only one of its last five home games against Ole Miss. The last seven games in this series at Mississippi State went under the total.
Ole Miss at Miss State SBG Free Picks
In this scenario, the distraction of Lane Kiffin comes at an inopportune moment. Mississippi State has provided excellent CFB odds value this season. Ole Miss could be preparing for an ambush.
Ole Miss at Miss State SBG Best Bet:
Mississippi State Bulldogs.