No. 9 Ole Miss goes to Nashville on Saturday as a 3-1 team that just had a bye to sit out a bad loss. At the same time, Vanderbilt is 3-2 after Georgia handled the Commodores in Athens.
Overall, Pete Golding’s first Ole Miss team is 1-1 in the SEC. The wins are 41-38 over Louisville, 41-9 over Charlotte, and 32-24 over LSU. The last of those was sealed by a fourth-down interception in the end zone. The loss is 52-28 at Florida, the game the bye was supposed to answer.
Namely, Trinidad Chambliss has 1,222 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions, completing 71 percent. In turn, the offense is a passing game, 323 yards through the air and 118 on the ground, and it has scored on every red-zone trip. Of great concern, the defense has not traveled. Ole Miss is allowing 31 points and 405 yards a game, 195 of them on the ground. And the turnover margin is minus-4. The Rebels are 1-3 against the College Football Odds spread.
Meanwhile, Clark Lea’s Commodores are 0-2 in the league after Saturday’s 38-14 loss at No. 2 Georgia. Gunner Stockton threw for 295 yards and three scores. And Vanderbilt managed a 60-yard touchdown before the game got away. The other results left them 3-2. Jared Curtis has 746 passing yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions.
Sedrick Alexander has 200 rushing yards and four scores. Overall, Vanderbilt is scoring about 25 and allowing 25, converting a third of its third downs, and it is 3-2 against the number. The program is a year off a 10-win season, and this is not that offense.
Ole Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt Commodores NCAAF Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Saturday, October 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET. |
|---|---|
| Location: | FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee. |
| TV Coverage: | ESPN |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ole Miss Rebels | -10 ( -108 ) | 58 ( -111 ) | -385 |  |
| Vanderbilt Commodores | +10 ( -114 ) | 58 ( -111 ) | +295 | |
| ||||
No. 9 Ole Miss goes to Nashville on Saturday as a 3-1 team that just had a bye to sit on a bad Online Wagering loss. And Vanderbilt is 3-2 after Georgia handled the Commodores in Athens. Kickoff is 3:30 p.m. Eastern at FirstBank Stadium, on ESPN.
Ole Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt Commodores Matchup Analysis
The College Football Betting matchup is a possession problem disguised as a quarterback advantage. Ole Miss throws for 323 yards a game and holds the ball for 26 minutes, 133rd in the country. In comparison, Vanderbilt is an ordinary offense that keeps it for half an hour. If the Commodores can run on a front that has not stopped anyone, Chambliss spends the afternoon on the sideline.
Ole Miss is allowing 195 rushing yards a game, 127th. Additionally, it does not run the ball itself, 118 yards, 119th. That is a defense built to lose the clock. Hence, Kewan Lacy has 191 yards and four scores, which is the whole ground game. So the Rebels won’t answer a Vanderbilt drive with one of their own. Sedrick Alexander has 200 yards and four scores for the Commodores.
Certainly, Chambliss is still the better passer: 71 percent, 1,222 yards, eight touchdowns. The question is what happens when Vanderbilt doesn’t have to blitz. Ole Miss has scored on every red-zone trip. And Vanderbilt allows a score on 85 percent of them. Thus, the points are there if the Rebels cross the 20. Getting there is the issue. The turnover margin is minus-4.
SBG Free Picks
To conclude, Wise Guys will take Vanderbilt plus the points and the over. The spread is the price of a ranking, and Ole Miss has not been cashing those. The Rebels are 1-3 against the number. Finally, Ole Miss has been in games that finished 79, 56, and 80, and it is allowing 31 points a game
SBG Best Bet: Vanderbilt Commodores and Over the Total.