So far, North Carolina head coach Bill Belichick has not impressed fans or gamblers in his 3-game tenure. A lackluster win at Charlotte followed a blowout loss to TCU. Next came a blowout win over FCS Richmond. Now comes a tougher College Football Betting road matchup against the UCF Knights. UCF head coach Scott Frost is trying to prove that you can come home again. After flaming out at his alma mater, Nebraska, Frost returned to the school where he made his coaching name. And he is off to a promising start.
North Carolina Tar Heels at Central Florida Knights
| Date and Time: | Saturday, September 20, 2025, 3:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Acrisure Bounce House, Orlando, FL |
| TV Coverage: | FOX |
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | +6½ ( -105 ) | 48 ( -107 ) | +200 |  |
| Central Florida | -6½ ( -115 ) | 48 ( -113 ) | -240 | |
| ||||
North Carolina Tar Heels Team Overview
Last week, the North Carolina Tar Heels won 41-6 against the FCS Richmond Spiders as 24-point home favorites. The game went over the Sports betting total of 47.5. As a result, North Carolina is 2-1 straight up, 2-1 against the spread, and 1-2 under the total. North Carolina ranks 127th for total offense, 88th for scoring offense, and 82nd for turnovers. At the same time, North Carolina is 68th for total defense and 54th for points allowed.
Gio Lopez threw for two touchdowns and ran for a score as North Carolina dominated Richmond. Correlate that both touchdown passes went to Jordan Shipp, and Demon June rushed for 148 yards for the Tar Heels. It marked the first collegiate home-field victory for first-year North Carolina coach Bill Belichick.
Also, North Carolina recorded a touchdown by its defense with Mikai Gbayor returning a fumble 62 yards for a touchdown in the first minute of the fourth quarter. Gomez was 10-for-18 for 119 yards in the air.
Central Florida Knights Team Overview
Last game, the UCF Knights beat FCS North Carolina A&T 68-7 as 38-point home favorites. The game went over the total of 51. Now Central Florida is 2-0 straight up, 1-1 against the spread, and 1-1 over the total. UCF has national metrics of 24th for total offense, 23rd for scoring offense, and 17th for fewest turnovers committed. While on defense, UCF ranks 24th for total defense and 8th for fewest points allowed.
Jaden Nixon rushed for 156 yards and two touchdowns on four carries. And then he had a kickoff return for a touchdown, to help Central Florida earn a rout of FCS opponent North Carolina A&T. The game started an hour later than scheduled due to inclement weather.
Additionally, Jacurri Brown had 106 yards rushing and two touchdowns on five carries for the Knights. UCF amassed 560 yards of total offense and 356 rushing yards. UCF also forced three turnovers from North Carolina A&T. UCF left little doubt early, jumping out to a 28-0 lead after the first quarter.
North Carolina at UCF Betting Trends
On the road, North Carolina covered the spread in three of its latest nine games in that role. Also, six of North Carolina’s last eight away games went under the total.
Late on, UCF got the money in only four of its most recent nine games. UCF went over the total in six of its last nine games.
North Carolina at UCF SBG Free Picks
On this occasion, Central Florida is the most sensible choice. North Carolina is in a painful College Football Betting transition.
North Carolina at UCF SBG Best Bet:
UCF Knights