Once upon a time, the Florida State Seminoles and the Miami-FL Hurricanes had one of the best rivalries with the College Football odds. But for the past generation, one team is usually up while the other one is down. But this year, both teams have a Top 10 and College Playoff feel. Finally, Miami head coach Mario Cristobal is making gains with his outstanding ability to recruit. By contrast, Mike Norvell of Florida State is redeeming himself through the portal after a catastrophic 2024 campaign. On Saturday, the Hurricanes and Seminoles will renew their historic ties.
Miami-FL Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles NCAAF Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Saturday, October 4, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL |
| TV Coverage: | ABC |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Florida | -4½ ( -113 ) | 54½ ( -108 ) | -190 |  |
| Florida State | +4½ ( -107 ) | 54½ ( -112 ) | +165 | |
| ||||
Miami-FL Hurricanes Team Overview
Last game, the Miami Hurricanes won 26-7 against the Florida Gators as 8.5-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 51. Following the win was a bye week. As a result, the Hurricanes are 4-0 straight up, 3-1 against the spread. And 2-2 over the online wagering total.
Overall, Miami has national metrics of 32nd for total offense, 32nd for scoring, and 21st for fewest turnovers committed. Miami ranks 13th for total defense, 10th for fewest points allowed, and 67th for takeaways.
CharMar Brown rushed for two touchdowns and accounted for 133 scrimmage yards. Hence, he led Miami to a victory over Florida. Additionally, Mark Fletcher Jr. rushed for 116 yards and one score. Brown had 80 yards on the ground and 53 receiving for the Hurricanes.
In sum, Carson Beck completed 17 of 30 passes for 160 yards and one interception for Miami. Yet Miami failed to put the game away during a dominating first half before adding to its lead late.
Florida State Seminoles Team Overview
Last game, the Florida State Seminoles lost 46-38 in overtime to the Virginia Cavaliers as 7-point road favorites. The game went over the total of 60. Now, Florida State is 3-1 straight up, 3-1 against the spread, and 4-0 over the total.
In sum, Florida State has national metrics of 1st for total offense, 2nd for scoring, but 85th for fewest turnovers committed. In comparison, Florida State ranks 97th for total defense, 7th for fewest points allowed, and 6th for takeaways.
Namely, Chandler Morris ran for three touchdowns and threw for two more as Virginia came away with a wild double-overtime win over Florida State. Morris’ third rushing score, from 4 yards out. And the ensuing two-point conversion pass served as the game-winner. That was after the Virginia defense followed it up with a stop of the Seminoles.
Strong individual efforts for Florida State were not enough. To illuminate, Duce Robinson had nine catches for 147 yards and a touchdown. And then Randy Pittman Jr became the third Florida State player to pass, rush, and catch a touchdown in the same game. Correlate that the Seminoles got an 11-yard diving catch from Pittman on fourth-and-goal with 36 seconds left to force overtime.
In its first road game of the season, Florida State got off to an incredibly inauspicious start. To show, FSU dug itself into an early 14-0 hole with 9:43 left in the first half.
Miami-FL at Florida State Betting Trends
Late on, Florida State covered the spread in ten of their last 15 away games. The Seminoles went under the total in 13 of their last 19 road tilts.
The Miami Hurricanes have covered the spread in six of their most recent nine games. Miami went over the total in nine of its last 14 home games.
In the last ten games between Florida State and Miami, the Seminoles and Hurricanes covered five games each. Additionally, this series has gone under the total in 12 of the last 14 games.
Specifically, at Florida State, Miami has received the cash in nine of its most recent 12 visits, including three of the last four matchups at Doak Campbell Stadium. Eight of the most recent ten games between Miami and Florida State at the Doak went under the total.
Miami-FL at Florida State SBG Free Picks
To conclude, we have a relatively even matchup with the College Football odds. Miami offers more value as the power road team. As mentioned earlier, the Hurricanes do well at the Doak.
Miami-FL at Florida State SBG Best Bet: Miami-FL Hurricanes.