Florida State Seminoles vs. NC State Wolfpack NCAAF Betting Picks (11/21/2025)

Two years ago, head coach Mike Norvell led the Florida State Seminoles to an undefeated regular season and the ACC championship. However, at the moment Florida State was snubbed for the College Football Playoff, the roof caved in. If Florida State could afford it, Norvell would have been fired long ago. But they extended Novell for an absurd contract to prevent him from replacing Nick Saban at Alabama. Since then, Norvell’s program has been a Betting on College Football disaster. And Florida State has buyer’s remorse. Things won’t get any easier on Friday night at NC State.

Florida State Seminoles vs. NC State Wolfpack NCAAF Betting Information

Odds at SBG Sportsbook

Team	Spread	Total	ML
Florida State	-4½ ( -115 )	61½ ( -108 )	-220
NC State	+4½ ( -105 )	61½ ( -112 )	+175

Florida State at NC State Betting Odds Analysis

Previously, Florida State was a coveted brand on the college football board. But gamblers have been feeling burned by Norvell’s program over the past two years. Florida State will be a tough sell on the road.

NC State is a popular team with sharps in spots like this. The Wolfpack can deliver greater value than the more popular brands. Certainly, head coach Dave Doeren has a tougher team that is well-led and well-prepared.

Florida State Seminoles Team Overview

Last game, the Florida State Seminoles won 34-14 against the Virginia Tech Hokies as 14-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 55.5. As a result, Florida State is 5-5 straight up, 5-5 against the spread, and 5-5 over/under the offshore bookmaker total.

Florida State ranks 8th for total offense, 40th for passing, 10th for rushing, 18th for scoring, and 72nd for fewest turnovers committed. In comparison, Florida State ranks 22nd for total defense, 38th vs. the pass, 31st vs. the rush, 28th for fewest points allowed, and 23rd for takeaways.

Late on, Florida State has covered two out of its most recent three games. Florida State went under the total in four of its last four matchups.

NC State Wolfpack Team Overview

Last game, the NC State Wolfpack lost 41-7 against the Miami-FL Hurricanes as 14.5-point road dogs. The game went under the total of 54.5. Now, NC State is 5-5 straight up, 4-6 against the spread, and 6-4 over/under the Betting on College Football total.

Overall, NC State ranks 52nd for total offense, 38th for passing, 82nd for rushing, 56th for scoring, and 74th for fewest turnovers committed. NC State ranks 127th for total defense, 136th vs. the pass, 54th vs. the rush,118th for fewest points allowed, and 92nd for takeaways.

Late on, NC State has covered one out of its most recent four games. NC State went over the total in two of its last three matchups.

Florida State at NC State Betting Trends

Late on, Florida State has been a weak betting value on the road. Florida State covered the spread in only two of its last nine away games. The Seminoles went under the total in 13 of their most recent 20 road tilts.

NC State has been in the black at home recently. The Wolfpack covered the spread in four of its last seven home games. Additionally, NC State went under the total in three of its most recent four home games.

NC State has dominated the payout window in its series with Florida State. The Wolfpack got the money in 14 of its last 18 games with the Seminoles. Only four of the last 16 games between NC State and Florida State went over the total.

Specifically at NC State, the Wolfpack saw the payout window in eight of its last nine games with the Seminoles. Florida State and NC State went under the total in six of their last eight meetings at Carter-Finley Stadium.

Florida State at NC State SBG Free Picks

As mentioned earlier, NC State has dominated the series with Florida State. The Seminoles have been one of the biggest disappointments in college football. Now, in this spot, they look vulnerable.

Florida State at NC State SBG Best Bet: NC State Wolfpack.