Alabama is heavily favored at home on the college football betting line against Mississippi State even though both teams have the same records.
That’s right; the Bulldogs are 7-2 just like the Crimson Tide. Alabama is still a 13.5 point favorite in college football lines at Sbg global.com in this game that can be seen on ESPN 2.
Will Alabama have a letdown this week after losing to LSU a week ago? The loss took Alabama out of any national title contention and probably cost them any chance to win the SEC. Quarterback Greg McElroy said that the loss felt like the end of the world. How does Alabama come back from that this week? This was an Alabama team that was expected to compete for the national title this season but now they are looking at trying to get up to play Mississippi State.
Mississippi State is for Real
The Bulldogs are ranked 17th in the country and having their best season in more than a decade. Mississippi State has won six straight since losing to Auburn and LSU. There is definitely no shame in those two losses. The Bulldogs are doing what Alabama usually does. They run the ball well, play defense and don’t turn the ball over.
Alabama Owns the Series
The Crimson Tide has dominated this series. They lead the all-time series 72-18-3. They have won the last meetings by a combined 63-10. If you look at this year’s numbers then Mississippi State has a chance. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games. Alabama is still good at home though as they are 5-1 against the college football lines in their last 6 home games. In this series, the road team has done well; covering the spread in seven of the last nine meetings and the Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Alabama.
Under the Total
There are some great trends for this game to go under the college football betting line. The Under is 5-0 in the Bulldogs last 5 conference games. The Under is 3-0-1 in Alabama’s last 4 home games. The Under is 15-6-1 in Alabama’s last 22 conference games. In this series, nine of the last 11 games have gone under.