To begin with Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has completely changed the betting on NCAA Football dynamics. Certainly, Alabama has been the marquee program in college football for the past decade. Along those same lines the Crimson Tide has had plenty of good quarterbacks. But Tua is at a whole other level. He has given Alabama a brilliant offense never seen before in the Nick Saban era. As a result, the Tide is being touted as one of the greatest college football teams of all time. But on Saturday night they well enter Death Valley to face tough and capable LSU.
Alabama Crimson Tide Vs. LSU Tigers
Date and Time: Saturday, November 3, 2018, 8 p.m. ET
Location: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, Louisiana
Betting on NCAA Football Odds at SBG:
|Alabama||-14½ (-110)||54 (-110)|
|LSU||+14½ (-110)||54 (-110)|
Alabama vs. LSU TV Coverage: CBS
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama is 8-0 straight up and 5-3 against the spread with a 6-2 mark on totals. Last time out the Tide scored a 58-21 payout at Tennessee followed with a bye week. In turn the Crimson Tide is far and away the top ranked team in college football. Alabama is the top scoring team in the country and ranks 10th for points allowed. While the defense is very good it is not quite a vintage Bama unit. Tagovailoa has a 238.8 rating with 25 touchdowns and no interceptions. He is averaging 13.59 yards per attempt.
LSU is 7-1 straight up and 5-3 vs. the spread with five of their games going over the total. Last game for the Tigers was a 19-3 home payout over Mississippi State followed with a bye. As usual LSU’s offense is inconsistent and ranks 61st in the nation for scoring. But on defense the Bayou Bengals rank seventh for points allowed. Ohio State transfer quarterback Joe Burrow is a solid and mature game manger that lacks gaudy numbers.
Stats to Consider
LSU has been a highly profitable betting on NCAA Football home dog. For example, the Tigers have lost just one of their last eight vs. the odds as a dog at Tiger Stadium. Just two of their last eight in that situation have gone over the total. Counter to that is Alabama’s lack of betting value as a road favorite. To show, the Crimson Tide has paid in just two of their last six laying the lumber on the road. And Bama has cleared the total in seven of their last 11 in that role.
Team vs. Team
Alabama has had the offshore bookmaker value advantage over LSU in this series. Further, this series has failed to clear the total in the last nine meetings. However, at Tiger Stadium the Tide has struggled to get the cash. In fact, the Crimson Tide has paid in just one of their last four visits to LSU. None of those four games have gone over the total.
Matchup to Watch
Certainly, this rivalry showdown has been eagerly anticipated. As mentioned earlier LSU is a dangerous Betting on NCAA Football home dog. By contrast the Crimson Tide is the more dynamic team. Balanced against that is this will be their toughest environment so far in 2018.
Betting on NCAA Football Picks
As was previously noted Alabama struggles to pay at Tiger Stadium. At the same time LSU has just enough to stay within the number, at the very least!
Betting on NCAA Football Pick: LSU Tigers
Betting on NCAA Football Score Prediction: Alabama 21, LSU 17
Catch highlights of LSU’s win over Mississippi State!