On the whole few programs have all of the advantages of Texas. To illuminate, the Longhorns have every NCAA Football betting advantage in the world. Recruiting base, money, fans, tradition, and a league of their own. Yet Bevo simply can’t breakthrough. Counter to that is a Baylor program that was as good as dead just three years ago. Head coach Matt Rhule has emerged as one of the nation’s best. Despite lacking the Texas resources, he has produced superior results. As a matter of fact, it is Baylor instead of Texas that is the top conference challenger to Oklahoma.
Texas Longhorns Vs. Baylor Bears
| Date and Time: | Saturday, November 23, 2019, 3:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas |
| Texas Vs. Baylor TV Coverage: | FS1 |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | +5½ (-110) | 59 (-110) | +185 |  |
| Baylor | -5½ (-110) | 59 (-110) | -225 | |
| ||||
Texas Longhorns Vs. Baylor Bears Overview
Texas has an offshore betting record of 6-4 straight up, 5-5 vs. the odds, and 6-4 over the total. Last week the Longhorns lost at Iowa State 23-21. Texas ranks 18th for scoring offense but 111th for total defense. As a result, the Horns are being correctly labeled as soft and entitled.
By contrast, Baylor is 9-1 straight up, 6-4 vs. the odds and 5-5 on totals. Oklahoma stormed back to beat the Bears 34-31 after falling behind 28-3. Overall Baylor ranks 26th for scoring offense and 24th for points allowed.
Key Longhorns: QB Sam Ehlinger (2914 YDS, 7.8 AVG, 27 TD, 8 INT, 26 SACK, 150.8 RTG, 123 RSH, 428 YDS, 3.5 AVG, 5 TD), RB Keaontay Ingram (122 ATT, 642 YDS, 5.3 AVG, 6 TD), WR Devin Duvernay (87 REC, 1017 YDS, 11.7 AVG, 7 TD), PK Cameron Dicker (45-45 XP, 12-16 FG), DB Brandon Jones (70 TACKLES, 1 SACK, 2 INT)
Key Bears: QB Cameron Brewer (2532 YDS, 68.8% COMP, 8.7 AVG, 18 TD, 5 INT, 25 SACK, 156.5 RTG), RB John Lovett (86 ATT, 537 YDS, 6.2 AVG, 4 TD), WR Denzel Mims (50 REC, 767 YDS, 15.3 AVG, 10 TD), PK John Mayers (39-39 XP, 10-13 FG), LB Terrel Bernard (83 TACKLES, 3.5 SACKS, 1 INT)
Texas Vs. Baylor ATS Stats
The Longhorns are:
- 7-3 vs. the odds when playing at Baylor
- 3-5 under the total on the road against the Bears
- 3-5 against the spread on the road
- 4-1 over the total in their last five away games
- 3-5 vs. the odds on the road vs. Big 12 teams
- 4-1 over the total at the Big 12
The Bears are:
- 4-8 against the spread in their last 12 home games
- 5-4 over the total at McLane Stadium
- 8-4 on the board head to head with Texas
- 0-6 under the total in their series with the Longhorns
- 3-5 vs. the odds at home vs. Big 12 opponents
- 2-6 under the total when hosting the Big 12
Texas Longhorns vs. Baylor Bears NCAA Football Betting Picks
As was previously noted Texas has been a good NCAA Football Betting value on the road and at Baylor. Additionally, the Longhorns may have a motivational edge to show strong after last week’s loss. Baylor may still be smarting from blowing the OU game.
Texas Vs. Baylor NCAA Football Betting Pick: Baylor Bears
Texas Vs. Baylor NCAA Football Betting Score Prediction: Texas 31, Baylor 30