Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs Odds, Analysis & Picks (11/06/2021)

Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs Odds, Analysis & Picks (11-06-2021)

Second-year results are going much better for Baylor coach Dave Aranda. Baylor wisely gave Aranda a pandemic pass for his rookie 2020 campaign. Now we are seeing what attracted the Bears to Aranda. Baylor is one of the most fundamentally sound teams in the country. Specifically, the Bears run the ball effectively and play tough defense. That remains the tried-and-true formula for NCAA Football betting success. This week the Bears host a disappointing TCU team. Since 2017 this once national power has stumbled upon hard times. Gary Patterson, the GOAT of TCU coaches, is out after 21 years.

Baylor Bears vs. TCU Horned Frogs NCAAF Betting Information

Date and Time:Saturday, November 6, 2021, 3:30 p.m. ET
Location:Amon G Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas
Baylor at TCU TV Coverage:FOX
Baylor vs. TCU Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Baylor-6½ (-110)59 (-110)-240
TCU+6½ (-110)59 (-110)+200
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Baylor Bears at TCU Horned Frogs SBG Odds Overview

On this occasion, Baylor will get the majority of gambling activity. Once upon a time, TCU was a favorite of the college football betting community. But over the past few seasons, the Horned Frogs have been a drain on offshore betting bankrolls. Baylor’s unexpected rise has caught the imagination of gamblers. Consider how Gary Patterson’s firing leaves TCU in chaos.

Baylor Bears Team Overview

Last week Baylor paid against Texas 31-24 as 2.5-point home favorites. The game went under the total of 62. As a result, Baylor is 7-1 straight up, 6-2 against the spread, and 5-3 over/under. Overall, Baylor ranks 17th for total offense and 18th for scoring offense. Defensively, the Bears rank 38th overall and 22nd for points allowed.
Big 12 rushing leader Bijan Robinson was limited to 43 yards on 17 carries by Baylor. Specifically, that’s well below his 132 yards a game average. His 2.5 yards-per-carry at Baylor was the lowest in his career.

TCU Horned Frogs Team Overview

Last week, TCU lost at Kansas State 31-12 as 3-point dogs. The Horned Frogs and Wildcats game went under the total of 58.5. TCU has a record of 3-5 straight up, 1-6-1 against the spread, and 4-4 over/under. TCU ranks 40th for total offense and 43rd for scoring offense. While defensively, the Horned Frogs rank 112th overall and 105th for points allowed.

Skylar Thompson threw for 242 yards and a touchdown while also running for a score. At the same time, Deuce Vaughn added 109 yards and two touchdowns on the ground for Kansas State.

The Horned Frogs’ Max Duggan was just 9 of 13 for 73 yards before getting benched in the third quarter, and Chandler Morris was 9 of 14 for 111 yards in relief. Kendre Miller ran for 102 yards, but most of it came on a 61-yard scamper.

Baylor Bears at TCU Horned Frogs ATS Stats

  • Baylor is 2-7 against the spread vs. TCU
  • The Bears and Horned Frogs are 8-2 over/under the total
  • Specifically, at TCU, Baylor is 2-4 vs. the odds against the Horned Frogs
  • These two teams are 3-1 over/under the total at TCU

Baylor Bears at TCU Horned Frogs SBG Free Picks

As mentioned earlier, TCU is an unreliable NCAA Football Betting value at home. By contrast, Baylor gets the cash on the road and in Big 12 action. Further, the shocking and sudden departure of Gary Patterson could have TCU dazed.

Baylor at TCU SBG Best Bet: Baylor Bears.

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