Arizona State vs TCU Horned Frogs NCAAF Betting Update & Picks (09/26/2025)

Last year, the Arizona State Sun Devils were able to ambush their way to the Big 12 championship. This year, Arizona State has the full attention of its opponents and gamblers. Thus, the Sun Devils are struggling to provide the same Betting on College Football value that they did in 2024. Last week at Baylor, Arizona State pulled out an important clutch win. This week, the Sun Devils host the resurgent TCU Horned Frogs. So far, TCU is looking better than they have in the past two years. Last week, TCU routed the highly touted SMU Mustangs. 

TCU Horned Frogs at Arizona State Sun Devils

Odds at SBG Sportsbook

Team	Spread	Total	ML
TCU	+2½ ( -115 )	56 ( -110 )	+113
Arizona State	-2½ ( -105 )	56 ( -110 )	-133

TCU Horned Frogs Team Overview

Last week, the TCU Horned Frogs won 35-24 against the SMU Mustangs as a 6.5-point home favorite. The game went under the sportsbook total of 64. Now, TCU is 3-0 straight up, 2-1 against the spread, and 2-1 over the total. 

Overall, TCU has national metrics of 14th for total offense, 6th for passing, 64th for rushing, and 23rd for scoring. In comparison, TCU ranks 68th for total defense, 104th against the pass, 38th against the rush, and 78th for takeaways.

In the 104th meeting of one of the nation’s oldest rivalries, Josh Hoover threw for 379 yards and five touchdowns to lead Texas Christian to a victory over Southern Methodist on Saturday in Fort Worth, Texas. Correlate that it was the final scheduled edition of the “Battle for the Iron Skillet.” The series, which began in 1915, ends with TCU holding a 54-43-7 advantage.

Eric McAlister enjoyed a career day with eight catches for 254 yards and three scores for TCU. By contrast, Kevin Jennings passed for 261 yards and three touchdowns for SMU.

Arizona State Sun Devils Team Overview

Last week, the Arizona State Sun Devils won 27-24 against the Baylor Bears as 3-point road dogs. The game went under the total of 60. As a result, Arizona State is 3-1 straight up, 2-2 against the spread, and 1-3 under the total. 

Overall, Arizona State ranks 66th for total offense, 101st for passing, 23rd for rushing, and 73rd for scoring. Defensively, Arizona State ranks 54th for total defense, 97th against the pass, 28th against the rush, 56th for points allowed, and 94th for takeaways.

Namely, Jesus Gomez drilled a 43-yard field goal as time expired, sending Arizona State to a win over Baylor. Arizona State’s defense had three takeaways and kept one of the nation’s most prolific passers, Baylor’s Sawyer Robertson, relatively in check. Yet the game came down to the last offensive possession of the night, and the Sun Devils made it count. They drove 49 yards in 11 plays to set up Gomez for his fourth field goal of the night.

Previously, Gomez made field goals of 31, 21, and 33 yards before his game-winner. Additionally, quarterback Sam Leavitt completed 22 of 32 passes for 221 yards and a touchdown. Leavitt was more effective at times with his legs than his arm, running for 62 yards and one score.

Robertson, who came into the game with more than 1,070 passing yards over his first three games, completed 25 of his 39 passes for 251 yards and three touchdowns, with one interception.

TCU at Arizona State Betting Trends

The TCU Horned Frogs covered the spread in four of their most recent five road games. Also, seven of the TCU’s last nine road games went over the total.

In like manner, Arizona State has been a strong betting value at home. Arizona State got the cash in seven of its most recent eight games. Additionally, eight of the last 11 Arizona State home games went over the total.

TCU at Arizona State SBG Free Picks

In this situation, we have a bet on College Football that looks even. Thus, TCU offers more value with the more favorable road team price. Finally, Arizona State is no longer catching anyone by surprise. Opponents and gamblers are ready for them this year.

TCU at Arizona State SBG Best Bet:

TCU Horned Frogs