The Edward Jones Capital Showcase, presented by Bad Boy Mowers (also referred to as “Duel in the District”), features a premier NCAA men’s basketball matchup. Specifically, the game is between the #1 Michigan Wolverines and the #3 Blue Devils. This is a high-stakes, neutral-site non-conference game late in the 2025-26 regular season. It is serving as a major resume builder for both teams ahead of March Madness.
Concurrently, Michigan is one of the top teams nationally under coach Dusty May, with a dominant record including multiple blowout wins. Since winning the 2017 Big Ten Tournament, this marks their return to Capital One Arena. It’s a rare late-season non-conference College Basketball odds clash for a Big Ten powerhouse.
In comparison, Duke is led by coach Jon Scheyer and remains elite, with strong talent and consistency. This is their first appearance at Capital One Arena since the 2024 ACC Tournament.
Michigan Wolverines vs. Duke Blue Devils Edward Jones Capital Showcase
| Date and Time: | Saturday, February 21, 2026, 6:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Capital One Arena, Washington, DC |
| TV Coverage: | ESPN |
| Betting Online Odds at SBG: | Click Here |
Michigan vs. Duke Betting Odds Analysis
Some gamblers see Michigan as a potentially good value. To illuminate, the Wolverines rank 5th nationally in scoring (91.4 PPG) and 2nd in point differential (+22.5), showcasing a higher offensive floor than Duke. Additionally, Michigan is battle-tested this season. The Wolverines have been highly reliable for bettors against top-tier competition, going 4–1 against the spread (ATS) in games against ranked opponents this season.
However, Cameron Boozer (23.3 PPG, 9.9 RPG) provides Duke with star power. He is the most dominant individual force in the matchup. To illustrate, he leads the Blue Devils in points, rebounds, assists, and steals.
Michigan Wolverines Team Overview
The Michigan Wolverines are 25-1 straight up, 14-12 against the spread, and 11-15 over/under the sportsbook total. Late on, Michigan has covered five out of its last ten games. The Wolverines have gone over the total in four of their previous six matchups.
Michigan has NCAABB metrics of 10th for scoring offense, 7th for field goal percentage, 97th for 3-point field goal percentage, 155th for free throw percentage, and 15th for offensive rebounding. In comparison, the Wolverines have NCAABB metrics of 36th for scoring defense, 2nd for field goal percentage permitted, 12th for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 11th for defensive rebounding.
Duke Blue Devils Team Overview
The Duke Blue Devils are 24-2 straight up, 14-12 against the spread, and 8-18 over/under the college basketball total. Late on, Duke has covered six out of their last ten games. The Blue Devils have gone under the total in eight of their previous ten matchups.
Duke has NCAABB metrics of 38th in scoring offense, 22nd in field goal percentage, 178th in 3-point field goal percentage, 207th in free throw percentage, and 13th in offensive rebounding. In comparison, the Blue Devils have NCAABB metrics of 10th for scoring defense, 10th for field goal percentage permitted, 43rd for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 17th for defensive rebounding.
Michigan vs. Duke Betting Trends
Michigan is 4-6 against the spread in road and neutral site games. In comparison, Duke is 6-3 against the spread in road and neutral site games. These teams have not met since 2013.
Michigan vs. Duke SBG Free Picks
Duke’s defense (63.1 PPG allowed) is statistically stingier than Michigan’s (68.3 PPG), which may be the deciding factor in a neutral-site environment. Also, Duke is solid on neutral/road-like spots (6-3 ATS in recent road/neutral trends).
Michigan vs. Duke SBG Best Bet: Duke Blue Devils.