Following a terrible first half of the season as an NBA Bets value, the Denver Nuggets are finally finding the groove. Denver has shown its best stretch of profit-taking all year. Equally important, the Nuggets are in the thick of the race for the top seed in the Western Conference playoffs. On Wednesday night, the Nuggets have a tough assignment against the Miami Heat. In like manner to Denver, Miami is flashing impressive value after a terrible first half. The Heat remain one of the best defensive teams in the NBA.
Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Wednesday, March 13, 2024, 7:30 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Kaseya Center, Miami, FL |
| TV Coverage: | ESPN |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets | -4½ -110 | 215 -110 | -190 |  |
| Heat | +4½ -110 | 215 -110 | +160 | |
| ||||
Denver Nuggets Overview
The Denver Nuggets are 44-20 straight up, 29-34-1 against the spread, and 24-39-1 over/under the offshore bookmaker total. Late on, Denver has covered seven out of their last nine games. At the same time, the Nuggets have gone under the total in four of its previous seven matchups. Concurrently, Denver is 3rd in the Western Conference playoff standings. Denver is 0.5 games behind the Oklahoma City Thunder in the Western Conference playoff race.
Denver has NBA metrics of 15th for scoring offense, 4th for field goal percentage, 13th for 3-point field goal percentage, 24th for free throw percentage, and 9th for offensive rebounding. In comparison on defense, the Nuggets have NBA metrics of 7th for scoring defense, 8th for field goal percentage permitted, 13th for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 7th for defensive rebounding.
First among Denver scorers is C Nikola Jokic, with 26.0 points, 12.2 rebounds, and 9.2 assists per game. PG Jamal Murray brings 21.1 points and 6.5 assists per contest. And then SF Michael Porter Jr averages 16.6 points and 7.0 rebounds per game.
Miami Heat Team Overview
The Miami Heat are 35-28 straight up, 31-31-1 against the spread, and 24-39 over/under the total. Late on, Miami has covered one of their last four games. The Heat have gone under the total in four of its previous six matchups. Concurrently, Miami is 6th in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. Miami is 14 games behind the Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference playoff race.
Miami has NBA metrics of 27th for scoring offense, 21st for field goal percentage, 8th for 3-point field goal percentage, 4th for free throw percentage, and 25th for offensive rebounding. In comparison on defense, the Heat have NBA metrics of 6th for scoring defense, 13th for field goal percentage permitted, 12th for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 12th for defensive rebounding.
First among Miami scorers is SF Jimmy Butler, with 21.7 points and 5.6 rebounds per game. PG Tyler Herro averages 20.8 points and 5.3 rebounds per game. And then C Bam Adebayo brings 19.9 points and 10.3 rebounds per contest.
Nuggets at Heat Free SBG Picks
Denver has gotten the NBA Bets cash in 10 of its last 16 games against Miami. Also, five of the last six meetings in this series went under the total. Specifically at Miami, Denver came away with the cash in six consecutive visits. Four of those six games went under the total. In this situation, Denver offers the most value as the quality road team.
Nuggets at Heat SBG Best Bet: Denver Nuggets.