Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Analysis, Odds & Preview (04/11/2023)

Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Analysis, Odds & Preview (04-11-2023)

The Miami Heat have been among the best Eastern Conference teams in the past four seasons. In 2020, the Heat won the Eastern Conference championship. Last year, the Heat were fought off in a tough 7-game series by the Boston Celtics in the Eastern Conference finals. Thus, the Heat was an NBA betting favorite of sharps for their hidden ability to get the cash against bigger brands. This year, Miami was one of the worst values on the board. Although Miami is a stout defensive team, its offense is among the worst in the Association.

Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat Betting Information

Date and Time:Tuesday, April 11, 2023, 7:30 p.m. ET
Location:Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
TV Coverage:TNT
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Hawks+4½ (-110)228 (-110)+175
Heat-4½ (-110)228 (-110)-210
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Hawks at Heat Odds Overview

In this situation, Miami is the bigger sportsbook brand. Atlanta is not an attractive option for the casual sector. And sharps like Miami’s defensive advantage.

Atlanta Hawks Team Overview

The Atlanta Hawks are 41-41 straight up, 36-40 against the spread, and 46-35-1 over/under the total. Late on, Atlanta has covered two out of their last eighty games. While the Hawks have gone over the total in four of its previous five matchups. Concurrently, Atlanta is 8th in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. Atlanta is 17 games behind the Milwaukee Bucks in the Eastern Conference playoff race.

Atlanta has NBA metrics of 3rd for scoring offense, 9th for field goal percentage, 21st for 3-point field goal percentage, 3rd for free throw percentage, and 10th for offensive rebounding.

In comparison on defense, the Hawks have NBA metrics of 26th for scoring defense, 25th for field goal percentage permitted, 10th for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 19th for defensive rebounding.

First among Atlanta scorers is Trae Young, with 28.2 points per game.

Miami Heat Team Overview

The Miami Heat are 44-38 straight up, 31-49-2 against the spread, and 41-41 over/under the total. Late on, Miami has covered four out of their last five games. While the Heat have gone over the total in five of its previous six matchups. Concurrently, Miami is 7th in the Eastern Conference playoff standings. Miami is 14 X games behind the Milwaukee Bucks in the Eastern Conference playoff race.

Miami has NBA metrics of 30th for scoring offense, 28th for field goal percentage, 27th for 3-point field goal percentage, 2nd for free throw percentage, and 27th for offensive rebounding.

In comparison, on defense, the Heat have NBA metrics of 2nd for scoring defense, 22nd for field goal percentage permitted, 22nd for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 6th for defensive rebounding.

First among Miami scorers is Jimmy Butler, with 22.9 points per game.

Miami Heat Playoff History

Of course, Miami won the Eastern Conference four straight times in its “Three Kings” era. Miami won back-to-back NBA titles in 2012 and 2013. Yet the Heat needed a miracle three-pointer from Ray Allen to win the second title.

After LeBron James left the team, Miami wasn’t competitive for a few years. But the Heat surprised everyone by winning the East in 2020. Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo proved to be an excellent combination. Also, Miami received solid three-point shooting from Duncan Robinson, Jae Crowder, and Tyler Herro. The Heat nearly made the NBA Finals again in 2022. But they lost to the Boston Celtics in seven games.

Hawks at Heat SBG Free Pick

As mentioned earlier, Miami has a strong NBA betting advantage on defense.

Hawks at Heat SBG Best Bet: Miami Heat.