2025 NBA Western Conference Championship Thunder vs. Timberwolves Betting Preview (05/26/2025)

So far in the Western Conference Finals, home court advantage has been the NBA betting edge. The home team won and covered the first three games dominantly. Thus, the Oklahoma City Thunder could have the ultimate advantage with a potential Game 7 on their home court. The Thunder took the first two games at home before the Timberwolves responded with a powerful Game 3 blowout win to get back into the series. Still, gamblers believe the Thunder is the team that will emerge as the Western Conference champion. To illuminate, the Thunder are a prohibitive favorite to win the series.

2025 NBA Playoffs Western Conference Championship Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves

Date and Time:Monday, May 26, 2025, 8:30 PM ET.
Location:Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
TV Coverage:ESPN
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Oklahoma City Thunder-3 -108218½ -110-148
Minnesota Timberwolves+3 -112218½ -110+128
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Series Schedule

  • Game 1: Thunder 114, Timberwolves 88
  • Game 2: Thunder 118, Timberwolves 103
  • Game 3: Timberwolves 143, Thunder 101
  • Game 4: Thunder at Timberwolves | Monday, May 26, 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)
  • Game 5: Timberwolves at Thunder | Wednesday, May 28, 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)
  • Game 6*: Thunder at Timberwolves | Friday, May 30, 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)
  • Game 7*: Timberwolves at Thunder | Sunday, June 1, 8 p.m. ET (ESPN)

* If necessary

Oklahoma City Thunder Overview

The Thunder have covered three of their most recent four offshore betting playoff matchups. Four of their last five games went over the total. Overall, in the 2025 NBA Playoffs, Oklahoma City has not been a reliable betting value in the postseason. The Thunder covered only six of their last 15 playoff games. Additionally, eight out of those 15 games went under the total. Consider that in the regular season, the Thunder were the most profitable team on the board.

First in scoring for the Thunder is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander with 28.7 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 6.6 assists per contest. Jalen Williams adds 19.6 points and 5.8 rebounds per game. Also, Chet Holmgren is averaging 15.7 points and 8.8 rebounds per game.

Minnesota Timberwolves Overview

In sum, the Minnesota Timberwolves covered nine out of their 13 NBA betting on playoff games. The Thunder went under the total in six of their first 13 playoff outings. Minnesota covered the spread in five of their most recent seven games late on. The Wolves went over the total in four of their last five postseason games.

Anthony Edwards leads the Wolves with 26.5 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 5.7 assists per game. Julius Randle is second in scoring for Minnesota with 22.8 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 5.2 assists per game.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Series Matchup

In this series, the Timberwolves failed to cover only five of their most recent 16 games against the Thunder. Also, Oklahoma City and Minnesota went under the total in nine of their last 14 games.

In Minnesota, the Timberwolves got the money in six of their most recent nine games agaisnt the Thunder. In turn, when the Timberwolves and Thunder met in Minnesota, the games went under the total in nine of their last 11 games.

Specifically at Oklahoma City, the Timberwolves got the cash in six of their last eight games agaisnt the Thunder. Also, 11 of the last 15 games between the Wolves and Thunder in Oklahoma City went over the total.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves SBG Free Picks

In this situation, Oklahoma City remains the deeper team with home-court advantage in Game 7 if needed.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves SBG Best Bet: Oklahoma City Thunder.