2025 NBA Playoffs Second Round Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Analysis (05/06/2025)

2025 NBA Playoffs Second Round Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Analysis (05-06-2025)

Despite a drop in regular season production and a lack of profit in NBA betting, the Minnesota Timberwolves have pulled themselves together. In first round action, the Wolves defeated the Los Angeles Lakers handily in a five-game blowout. Now Minnesota enters the second round as a favorite agaisnt the Golden State Warriors. Golden State is coming off a thrilling 7-game series win over the Houston Rockets. The Warriors clinched the series with a Game 7 win at Houston. Cause by their bigger brand reputation, the Warriors are drawing interest at the betting window.

2025 NBA Playoffs Second Round Matchup Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors

Date and Time:Tuesday, May 06, 2025, 9 PM ET.
Location:Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
TV Coverage:TNT
Odds at SBG Sportsbook
TeamSpreadTotalML
Golden State Warriors+6½ -111210½ -110+211
Minnesota Timberwolves-6½ -109210½ -110-255
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors Series Schedule

  • Game 1: Warriors. vs. Wolves | Tue., May 6 (9:30 ET, TNT)
  • Game 2: Warriors vs. Wolves | Thu., May 8 (8:30 ET, TNT)
  • Game 3: Wolves vs. Warriors | Sat., May 10 (TBD, ABC)
  • Game 4: Wolves vs. Warriors | Mon., May 12 (TBD, ESPN)
  • Game 5*: Warriors vs. Wolves | TBD
  • Game 6*: Wolves vs. Warriors | TBD
  • Game 7*: Warriors vs. Wolves | TBD

*If necessary

Minnesota Timberwolves Overview

In sum, Minnesota’s NBA metrics were 11th for scoring offense, 16th for field goal percentage, 4th for 3-point field goal percentage, 10th for free throw percentage, and 14th for offensive rebounding. While on defense, the Timberwolves’ metrics were 6th for scoring defense, 7th for field goal percentage permitted, 6th for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 8th for defensive rebounding.

The Minnesota Timberwolves‘ final regular season record was 49-33 straight up, 39-42-1 against the spread, and 45-37 over/under the online wagering total. As a result, Minnesota was 6th in the Western Conference playoff standings, 19 games behind the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Golden State Warriors Overview

Overall, Golden State’s NBA metrics were 15th for scoring offense, 25th for field goal percentage, 16th for 3-point field goal percentage, 25th for free throw percentage, and 7th for offensive rebounding. While on defense, the Warriors’ NBA betting metrics were 8th for scoring defense, 11th for field goal percentage permitted, 19th for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 15th for defensive rebounding.

The Golden State Warriors’ final regular season record was 48-34 straight up, 41-37-3 against the spread, and 40-41 over/under the total. As a result, Golden State was 7th in the Western Conference playoff standings, 20 games behind the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors Series Matchup

Overall, the series between the Wolves and Warriors has been streaky. Late on the Timberwolves failed to cover the most recent three meetings agaisnt the Warriors. However, Minnesota covered the five games prior to that. Golden State and Minnesota went over the total in 12 of their most recent 18 games.

Specifically in Minnesota, the Wolves got the money in 10 of their last 14 games against the Warriors. Eight of the most recent 11 games between the Warriors and Wolves at Minnesota went over the total.

In comparison, at Golden State, the Wolves got the cash in four of their most recent five visits. Minnesota and the Warriors went under the total in four of their last six games at Golden State.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors SBG Free Picks

In this situation, Minnesota is peaking at the perfect time.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors SBG Best Bet: Minnesota Timberwolves.