Since winning the 2023 NBA championship, the Denver Nuggets have been a relative NBA betting mess. Denver has offered gamblers plenty of red ink and inconsistent play. Things got so bad that Denver fired championship-winning head coach Michael Malone on April 8. Now, interim replacement David Adelman has the Nuggets in the second round. But Denver’s matchup agaisnt Oklahoma City will not be easy. The Thunder were the best team in the regular season. Most important of all, the Thunder were the most profitable team on the NBA board. Thus, OKC opened as a strong favorite to beat Denver.
2025 NBA Playoffs Second Round Matchup: Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
| Date and Time: | Monday, May 5, 9:30 PM ET. |
|---|---|
| Location: | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
| TV Coverage: | TNT |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | +9½ -105 | 226 -110 | +337 |  |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -9½ -115 | 226 -110 | -430 | |
| ||||
Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Series Schedule
- Game 1: Nuggets at Thunder | Mon., May 5 (9:30 ET, TNT)
- Game 2: Nuggets at Thunder | Wed., May 7 (9:30 ET, TNT)
- Game 3: Thunder at Nuggets | Fri., May 9 (10 ET, ESPN)
- Game 4: Thunder at Nuggets | Sun., May 11 (3:30 ET, ABC)
- Game 5*: Nuggets at Thunder | TBD
- Game 6*: Thunder at Nuggets | TBD
- Game 7*: Nuggets at Thunder | TBD
* If necessary
Denver Nuggets Overview
Overall, Denver’s NBA metrics were 2nd for scoring offense, 1st for field goal percentage, 5th for 3-point field goal percentage, 23rd for free throw percentage, and 4th for offensive rebounding. On defense, the Nuggets’ metrics were 25th for scoring defense, 13th for field goal percentage permitted, 22nd for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 7th for defensive rebounding.
The Denver Nuggets’ final Offshore betting regular season record was 50-32 straight up, 38-43-1 against the spread, and 48-33 over/under the NBA betting total. As a result, Denver was fourth in the Western Conference playoff standings, 18 games behind the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Oklahoma City Thunder Overview
Overall, Oklahoma City’s NBA metrics were 3rd for scoring offense, 7th for field goal percentage, 6th for 3-point field goal percentage, 1st for free throw percentage, and 10th for offensive rebounding. While on defense, the Thunder’s metrics were 3rd for scoring defense, 1st for field goal percentage permitted, 1st for 3-point field goal percentage allowed, and 22nd for defensive rebounding.
The Oklahoma City Thunder had a final regular season record of 68-14 straight up, 55-23-4 against the spread, and 55-36 over/under the NBA betting total. As a result, Oklahoma City was first in the Western Conference playoff standings. The Houston Rockets were 16 games behind the Thunder the Western Conference playoff race.
Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Series Matchup
Overall, Denver covered the NBA betting spread in only six of its last 16 games with Denver. Seven of the last nine meetings in this series went under the total.
Specifically at Denver, the Thunder came away with the cash in eight of their most recent nine visits. Four of the last five games in this series at Denver went under the total.
In comparison, in Oklahoma City, the Nuggets saw the payout window in five of their last six games. The Nuggets and Thunder went under the total in five of their last eight games at Oklahoma City.
First for the Nuggets is Nikola Jokic, who has 24.0 points, 11.6 rebounds, and 10.1 assists per game in the postseason. Jamal Murray adds 22.9 points and 5.9 assists per game.
Meanwhile, for Oklahoma City, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads with 27.8 points per game. Jalen Williams adds 23.3 points per contest.
Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder SBG Free Picks
As a recent champion with a new focus and coach, Denver makes for an attractive value and power underdog. OKC is unproven at the playoff level.
Denver Nuggets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder SBG Best Bet: Denver Nuggets.