Four years ago, one of the greatest upsets with the baseball betting odds occurred. The heavily favored Houston Astros lost the 2019 World Series to the Washington Nationals. Since then, the Astros have remained a perennial contender. And they won the 2022 World Series. By contrast, the Nationals have wallowed in misery. Washington is the worst team in the National League. And history shows the Nationals were an accidental World Series champion. However, there is an interesting fact about the Nats. Despite their losses on the field, they are slightly in the black against the odds.
Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros MLB Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Wednesday, June 14, 2023, 8:10 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas |
| TV Coverage: | ESPN+ |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | +1½ (EV) | 7½ (-115) | +210 |  |
| Astros | -1½ (-120) | 7½ (-105) | -260 | |
| ||||
Nationals at Astros SBG Betting Odds Analysis
In this situation, the masses will flood the sportsbook betting window for the Astros. Thus, the Nationals will get an inflated and value-added price as the unwanted underdog. As was previously noted, the lowly Nats are profitable this season. At the same time, the highly acclaimed Astros are in the red.
Washington Nationals Team Overview
Overall, the Washington Nationals are 25-37 straight up and 28-31-3 over/under the total. Washington is 5th in the National League East Division standings. Washington is 13 games behind the Atlanta Braves in the National League East Division race. Late on, the Nationals have covered two out of their last ten games. The Nats have gone over the total in five of their previous eight matchups.
To summarize, Washington has MLB metrics of 23rd for runs production, 21st for OPS, and 29th for home runs. Additionally, Washington ranks 24th for earned run average, 28th for WHIP, 18th for quality starts, and 29th for bullpen efficiency. Also, Washington ranks 28th for the fewest errors committed.
Accordingly, Lane Thomas leads the Nationals with 41 runs, 12 doubles, nine home runs, 28 RBI, a .335 on base percentage, a .452 slugging percentage, and .787 OPS.
Patrick Corbin is the probable starting pitcher for Washington. In sum, Corbin has a record of 4-6 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.52 WHIP. Top reliever Kyle Finnegan has a record of 3-3 with 11 saves in 16 opportunities. His ERA is 4.74 with a 1.62 WHIP.
Houston Astros Team Overview
In sum, the Houston Astros are 36-28 straight up and 31-32-1 over/under the total. Houston is 2nd in the American League West Division standings. Houston is six games behind the Texas Rangers in the American League West Division race. Late on, the Astros have covered two out of their last seven games. The Astros have gone under the total in four of their previous six matchups.
Houston has MLB metrics of 14th for runs production, 20th for OPS, and 16th for home runs. Also, Houston ranks 1st for earned run average, 6th for WHIP, 5th for quality starts, and 3rd for bullpen efficiency. Houston ranks 9th for the fewest errors committed.
Overall, Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 41 runs, 17 home runs, 55 RBI, a .388 on base percentage, .589 slugging percentage, and .977 OPS.
Framber Valdez is the probable starting pitcher for Houston. In sum, Valdez has a record of 6-5 with a 2.36 ERA and 1.06 WHIP. And then closer Ryan Pressly has a record of 0-2 with 11 saves in 13 opportunities. His ERA is 3.55 with a 0.99 WHIP.
Nationals at Astros SBG Free Pick
As mentioned earlier, the Nationals show strong MLB odds value related to their record and brand.
Nationals at Astros SBG Best Bet: Washington Nationals.