To begin with, gamblers consistently give the Mets more credit than usually merited. New York boasts a massive fan base and great media support. In 2020 New York was hyped like few other teams. Balanced against that were terrible results with the baseball betting odds. In the early stages of 2021, the Mets are impressive. Pitching is the strength of New York in April. Cubs’ fans braced themselves for a terrible 2021 campaign. Chicago sheds payroll and surrendered contender status. Following that is the sad reality of faded glory. Five years after winning the World Series, it’s over.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Tuesday, April 20, 2021, 7:40 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois |
| Mets at Cubs TV Coverage: | ESPN |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -125 |  | ||
| Cubs | +115 | |||
| ||||
New York Mets at Chicago Cubs Betting Odds Analysis
In this situation, the Mets will carry the sports betting majority. New York is vastly more popular and credible. Gamblers want nothing to do with the Cubs. And that was the case before their poor start.
New York Mets Overview
New York is 6-4 straight up, 3-7 on the run line, and 5-4-1 over the total. First place in the National League East belongs to the Mets. New York ranks 6th for staff earned run average, 3rd for quality starts, and 4th for fewest errors committed. Of major concern is a bullpen earned run average ranked 23rd in MLB. Offensively the Mets are struggling. To illustrate, they rank 30th for both run production and home runs.
Namely, Taijuan Walker is the probable Mets starter. Walker has a 2.61 earned run average and 1.16 WHIP in two starts. Pete Alonso leads New York with a .737 OPS and two home runs. In turn, he is hitting only .222.
Chicago Cubs Overview
Overall, the Cubs are 6-8 straight up, 5-9 on the run line, and 4-8-2 under the total. Chicago ranks 29th for both run production and OPS. On the hill, the Cubs are 19th for earned run average and 18th for quality starts. In turn, Chicago ranks a solid 7th for bullpen earned run average.
Probable starter Jake Arrieta has a 3.18 earned run average and 1.29 WHIP. It follows that Chris Bryant is powering the Cubs lineup. Bryant has four doubles, five home runs, and a 1.026 OPS. He has ten runs scored and ten runs batted in.
New York Mets at Chicago Cubs Betting Trends
- New York has lost six of their last eight away games
- The Mets have gone over the total in ten of their last 11 games
- Chicago has won four of their last seven home games
- Six of the Cubs previous seven games at Wrigley Field stayed under the total
- The Cubs are 14-3 in their last 17 games with the Mets
- Only two of the last six between these teams went over the total
- New York is 3-2 in their previous five games at Wrigley Field
- Only one of the last five in this matchup at Chicago stayed under the number
New York Mets at Chicago Cubs SBG Free Pick
New York is showing modest improvement with the MLB odds. In comparison, the Cubs are not as bad as advertised. Chicago will get a reasonable home underdog price. Hence, they rate the better value against unproven chalk.
SBG Best Bet: Chicago Cubs.