The regular season ended with the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees tied for the American League East championship. However, Toronto won the baseball betting odds tiebreaker and earned a wild-card bye. Meanwhile, the Yankees beat the Boston Red Sox in the wild-card series. New York won the final two games after losing Game 1 to Boston. Now the Blue Jays and Yankees will settle things once and for all in 2025. On Tuesday night, Yankee Stadium will host Game 3 of the American League Division Series.
In the first two games at Toronto, the Blue Jays bombarded the Yankees with wins of 10-1 in Game 1 and 13-7 in Game 2.
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees MLB Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Tuesday, October 7, 2025, 8:08 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| TV Coverage: | FS1 |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | +1½ ( -160 ) | 7½ ( -120 ) | +135 |  |
| Yankees | -1½ ( +135 ) | 7½ ( EV ) | -160 | |
| ||||
Blue Jays at Yankees SBG Betting Odds Analysis
Toronto was one of the most profitable teams in 2025 at +1677 units on the offshore bookmaker money line and +1494 against the run line. In turn, Toronto was -69 money line units on the road.
The Yankees finished -559 units on the moneyline and -162 against the run line. Also, New York was +8 moneyline units at home.
Toronto Blue Jays SBG Team Overview
In the regular season, the Toronto Blue Jays were 94-68 and 40-41 on the road. Also, Toronto was 86-71-5 over the total. The Blue Jays had MLB metrics of 4th for run production, 3rd for OPS, 11th for home runs, and 28th for stolen bases. Additionally, Toronto ranked 19th in earned run average, 16th in WHIP, and 16th in bullpen ERA.
George Springer led the Blue Jays in the regular season with 105 runs, 32 home runs, 84 runs batted in, and a .959 OPS. So far in the playoffs, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has three runs, two home runs, and six RBI with a 1.933 OPS.
New York Yankees SBG Team Overview
In the 2025 season, the Yankees finished with a 94-68 record and a 40-31 home record. The Yankees were 76-84-5 under the total. New York ranked 1st for run production, 1st for OPS, 1st for home runs, and 9th for stolen bases. New York ranked 14th for earned run average, 12th for WHIP, 24th for fewest errors committed, and 23rd for bullpen ERA.
So far in five playoff games, Aaron Judge has not hit a home run after powering to 53 home runs in the regular season.
Blue Jays at Yankees Betting Trends
In the series between Toronto and New York, the Blue Jays won 11 of the most recent 20 meetings. Also, the Yankees and Blue Jays went under the total in only seven of their last 20 matchups.
Specifically, at Yankee Stadium, the Yankees got the cash in eight of their most recent 11 games against the Blue Jays. Only six of the last 20 games between the Blue Jays and Yankees at Yankee Stadium went over the total.
Blue Jays at Yankees SBG Free Pick
The Yankees are indeed the most popular team in the American League. New York consistently commands higher prices at home, largely due to its brand and the mystique of Yankee Stadium. In a home playoff game against Toronto,
New York won’t be as expensive as normal. New York was a solid home team this year and won two out of three at Yankee Stadium in the wild-card round. Finally, Toronto was not a reliable MLB odds value on the road this year. In this situation, New York offers more value. Especially when they are fighting for their lives.
Blue Jays at Yankees SBG Best Bet: New York Yankees.