The Twins, on paper, might have the most MLB betting odds talent in the AL Central. But their best everyday players have long injury history. Namely, Carlos Correa (86 games played), Royce Lewis (82), and Byron Buxton (102) all missed significant time in 2024. Minnesota, as a result, faded down the stretch and missed the postseason. Consider that Lewis is already dealing with a strained left hamstring that will sideline him for the start of the season. Buxton, 31, has played more than 92 games only twice in his career.
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Friday, April 11, 2025, 8:10 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Target Field, Minneapolis, MN |
| TV Coverage: | Apple TV |
| Betting Online Odds at SBG: | Click Here |
Detroit Tigers SBG Team Overview
Of great concern is that only nine Tigers outfielders have hit 30 home runs in a season. To illuminate, Justin Upton was the last to do it in 2016. And Rocky Colavito is the only one to do it more than once. Riley Greene becomes the 10th and makes the All-Star team for the second consecutive season. Correlate, he is the first Tigers outfielder to do that since Magglio Ordonez in 2006-07.
With Greene, Parker Meadows, Colt Keith, Trey Sweeney, and Kerry Carpenter, the Tigers have assembled a solid young core of position players. Last year, Greene, Meadows, and Carpenter combined for an .832 OPS. Of major concern is if Keith and Sweeney — combined OPS of .681 — can elevate to their level. Meanwhile, Spencer Torkelson can recapture some of the hitting prowess that made him a No. 1 overall pick. If so, the Tigers might win their first division title since 2014.
Minnesota Twins SBG Team Overview
Last summer, Correa was an All-Star before plantar fasciitis hampered him for the second straight season. The Twins’ fortunes hinge on the three staying on the field. Three of the top 15 favorites for AL Cy Young are members of the Twins’ rotation. Namely, leading the way is Pablo Lopez, with Bailey Ober and Joe Ryan lurking behind. Their numbers are similar, with Ryan rating as the most dominant and Ober with the best command. But Lopez has a decided edge in volume and consistency, making him the best combination of everything.
Previously, in the past three seasons, Lopez has averaged 186 innings while posting an ERA+ of 110. Including a little luck in the BABIP and HR/FB columns. And a little run support would push Lopez into the Cy Young conversation and could allow him to threaten the 20-win mark. Baseball needs more 20-game winners. It’s hard to out-bullpen Cleveland. However, the Twins will have the best bullpen in the majors, leading in win probability added. Consider that Jhoan Duran and Griffin Jax are both posting sub-2.00 ERAs.
Starting with the trio of Lewis, Correa, and Buxton playing as many games as possible. But when the Twins won the American League Central in 2023, it was their rotation that carried them. And it was their rotation that fell off when they came up short in 2024.
In turn, Lopez is still there to lead the staff. But Sonny Gray, who joined him to form a devastating combo two years ago, is long gone. Ryan, Ober, and Simeon Woods Richardson, acquired from the Toronto Blue Jays in the Jose Berrios trade of July 2021, need to take steps forward.
Tigers at Twins SBG Free Pick
In this situation, the Twins will get a reasonable home price with the MLB odds in an even matchup.
Tigers at Twins SBG Best Bet: Minnesota Twins.