At the onset of the season, nobody had the Miami Marlins on their future market list. The masses ignored Miami, and rightfully so. The Marlins are perennial losers with low revenue and fan support. Miami’s payroll is nowhere near the upper class. Yet the Marlins are consistently beating the baseball betting odds. Most important of all, Miami is in the thick of the National League playoff race. On Friday night, the Marlins host the struggling Detroit Tigers. Detroit is fulfilling its future market expectations. To illuminate, the Tigers are losing just as predicted.
Detroit Tigers vs. Miami Marlins MLB Betting Information
| Date and Time: | Friday, July 28, 2023, 6:40 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Loan Depot Park, Maimi, FL |
| TV Coverage: | Check Listings |
| Team | Spread | Total | ML | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigers | +1½ ( -165 ) | 7½ ( +105 ) | +135 |  |
| Marlins | -1½ ( +140 ) | 7½ ( -125 ) | -160 | |
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Tigers at Marlins SBG Betting Odds Analysis
Despite its losing record on the diamond in 2023, Detroit is in the black against the moneyline. Detroit is showing a slight profit on the runline. The Tigers are trending over the online betting total this season.
So far, Miami is in the black against the moneyline this season. However, the Marlins are showing a solid loss against the runline in 2023. On the over/under board, Miami is breaking even.
Detroit Tigers Team Overview
Overall, the Detroit Tigers are 44-52 straight up and 50-43-3 over/under the total. Detroit is 3rd in the Central Division standings. In the American League Central Division race, Detroit is six games behind the Minnesota Twins. Late on, the Tigers have covered five out of their last seven games. The Tigers have gone under the total in seven of their previous nine matchups. Detroit ranks 28th for run production and 19th for earned run average.
Correlate that left-hander Tarik Skubal is the probable Detroit starter. Skubal is 0-1 with a 5.25 earned run average and 1.08 WHIP. Detroit lost all three of his starts. Overall, Detroit ranks 14th for bullpen earned run average. Closer Alex Lange is 5-2 with a 4.08 earned run average and 16 saves in 19 opportunities. Spencer Torkelson leads Detroit with 48 runs, 21 doubles, 14 home runs, and 52 runs batted in.
Miami Marlins Team Overview
In sum, the Miami Marlins are 53-45 straight up and 47-47-4 over/under the total. Miami is 3rd in the National League East Division standings. In the NL East Division race, Miami is 12 games behind the Atlanta Braves. Late on, the Marlins have covered two out of their last ten games. The Marlins have gone under the total in two of their previous nine matchups. Miami ranks 26th for run production and 14th for earned run average.
Namely, Braxton Garrett is the probable starter for the Marlins. The left-hander is 5-3 with a 4.32 earned run average and 1.19 WHIP. Miami won three of Garrett’s previous five starts. Miami ranks 17th for bullpen ERA. Specifically, closer AJ Puk is 4-4 with a 4.40 ERA and 15 saves in 19 opportunities. Jorge Solder leads Miami with 54 runs, 19 doubles, 24 home runs, and 53 runs batted in.
Tigers at Marlins SBG Free Pick
Following a strong start, the Marlins are discovering their gravity. As mentioned earlier, Miami is slowing down as the dog days of summer wear down the pretenders. Detroit will get a more favorable price on the road with the MLB odds. Also, the Tigers are in better recent form.
Tigers at Marlins SBG Best Bet: Detroit Tigers.