MLB game lines favor the Chicago Cubs as they start their last four-game series of the season at Miller Park. The Milwaukee Brewers swept, in early September, the Cubbies 3-0, and limited them, thanks to their solid pitching, to just three runs. “They got us last time and they’re not going to go away,” Chicago manager Joe Maddon said per MLB.com. “I’ve been a fan of theirs for the last two years. I think they’ve done a lot of good things. It’s going to come down to us playing those games well.”
- Date: Thursday, 21st September
- Time: 8:10 PM
- Venue: Miller Park
- Sportsbook odds for fans who bet on MLB games:
Cubs -1½ (+125) 8½ (-120) -128
Brewers +1½ (-145) 8½ (EV) +118
Chicago Cubs (84-67)
Jake Arrieta (RHP, 14-9, 3.48 ERA, 157 K) had cut his last start short on September 4th with a strained right hamstring, but, according to Maddon, he “passed all the tests so he’s ready to roll.” Arrieta is 2-0 in two appearances against the Brewers this season, in which he surrendered three earned runs in 13 innings. Opponents are just .196 in 168 at-bats versus Arrieta’s sinker, which he has thrown nearly two-thirds of the time, in his last 10 starts – the lowest average allowed among starters with at least 50 at-bats on sinkers/two-seamers since July 1st.
— Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) September 20, 2017
Third baseman Kris Bryant’s slash line is .480/.552/.720 in six games at Miller Park this year. Addison Russell, meanwhile, is .348 in six games there.
Chicago has won, since being swept by Milwaukee, seven, and covered in six, of eight games. The Cubs have, additionally, gone 10-3 straight-up in their last 13 series openers, and have won each of their last three with an average of 6.0 runs per game, which would still require a little help from the Brewers for the 8½ total, as seen in the above MLB game lines, go over. These two clubs do, however, tend to go under when they meet.
Milwaukee Brewers (81-71)
Zach Davies (RHP, 17-9, 3.89 EAR, 121 K) was given an additional day of rest so that he could start against the Cubs, against whom he has, in four starts this season, three of which were quality starts, a 3.69 ERA. Davies limited Chicago to one run in seven innings on September 10th but was not surprised that the Cubs went on a winning streak right after that. “That’s what happens at this time of year, the best competition is going to come out,” he explained. “The teams that really want it are going to show it in September.” Manager Craig Counsell agreed, saying the Cubbies look “darned good.” Davies allowed six earned runs in four innings in his most recent start against Miami, but is 10-5 with a 2.74 ERA in his last 16 starts.
Only eight players have, at Miller Park, more home runs than first baseman Eric Thames, who has 20.
— Milwaukee Brewers (@Brewers) September 21, 2017
Ryan Braun is 7-for-24 with 3 homers and 10 RBIs in his career against Arrieta. The Beersketeers are 7-0 straight-up versus right handers, and 10-5 ATS, per MLB game lines, in their last 15 home games against the Cubs.