Brewers vs. Padres MLB Betting Sonata in B-flat Major

July 23rd, 2019 MLB Baseball

The Milwaukee Brewers and the San Diego Padres play the third MLB betting game of a four-game set tonight, after they split the first two.

Time: 10:10 PM
Venue: Petco Park

Sportsbook odds for fans who bet on baseball:

Milwaukee Brewers +1½ (-200) 7½ (EV) +117
San Diego Padres -1½ (+170) 7½ (-120) -127

On the mound: Matt ‘Heron’ Garza (RHP, 2-0, 2.66 ERA) has had three consecutive quality starts for the first time since August 2015. Garza allowed two earned runs in six innings against the Mets in his last start on Friday. Prior to that, he pitched eight innings of one-run ball in a Brewers loss to the Pirates. More to the point, Garza has yet to lose to San Diego; he is 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA in four starts versus the Padres. “His offspeed is a real factor now,” Milwaukee managers Craig Counsell said of Garza. “He’s become well-rounded and he’s coupling that with just his experience and knowing what he wants to do, and how to attack hitters.”

Recent form: The Brewers have won four of their last five games, including a 3-0 sweep of the Mets. However, they have dropped two thirds of their last six visits to San Diego.

Trends for fans who bet on baseball: Similarly, Milwaukee has covered in their last five games and seven of their last eight on the road, but is 2-7 against the spread in the last nine meetings with the Padres. The MLB betting total has gone over in Milwaukee’s last five contests and over in 80% of the Brewers’ last five games against San Diego.

Injury report: Third baseman Travis Shaw could be available after missing the first two games of the series with a sprained right index finger. On the other hand, Eric Thames is questionable with strep throat.

San Diego
On the mound: Jhoulys Chacin (RHP, 4-3, 5.12 ERA) has prevailed in two of his previous three starts. The Venezuelan surrendered three runs in 6 1/3 innings versus the White Sox in his last start.  Chacin is 0-1 with a 5.23 ERA in five games in his career against the Brewers. Chacin has allowed only one earned run on 10 hits in 20 innings at Petco Park this season.

Recent form: The Padres have lost 70% of their last 13 overall games and six of their last eight at home. Conversely, they have defeated the Brewers in four of the latter’s last six visits to San Diego.

Trends for fans who bet on baseball: The Friars’ covering also picks up when facing the Cerveceros; while they are 1-5 against the spread in the last six games and 1-7 ATS in the last eight at home, the Padres are 7-2 ATS in the last nine encounters with the Brewers. The MLB betting total has gone over in four of SD’s last five, over in five of their last six home games, and over in four of the Padres’ last five times hosting Milwaukee.

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