Burnham Square and Tiztastic Lead 2025 Kentucky Derby Value Plays (05/03/2025)

Burnham Square and Tiztastic Lead 2025 Kentucky Derby Value Plays (05-03-2025)

At the onset of the week, Journalism was a strong 2025 Kentucky Derby Odds favorite with Sandman and Sovereignty right behind. But one of the charms of the Kentucky Derby is that the best horses in the world are all on hand. Thus, there are plenty of strong alternatives to the expensive, public betting favorites. On Saturday, Burnham Square and Tiztastic are among the quality horses who can win at a better price. Late on the blanket of roses often goes to quality horses who are ignored by the masses.

2025 Kentucky Derby Betting Information

Date:Saturday, May 3, 2025, 6:57 p.m. ET.
Location:Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky
TV Coverage:NBC

2025 Kentucky Derby Odds:

HorseOdds
Gate 1: Citizen Bull20-1
Gate 2: Neoequos30-1
Gate 3: Final Gambit 30-1
Gate 4: Rodriguez12-1
Gate 5: American Promise30-1
Gate 6: Admire Daytona30-1
Gate 7: Luxor Café15-1
Gate 8: Journalism3-1
Gate 9: Burnham Square12-1
Gate 10: Grande20-1
Gate 11: Flying Mohawk31-1
Gate 12: East Avenue20-1
Gate 13: Publisher20-1
Gate 14: Tiztastic20-1
Gate 15: Render Judgement30-1
Gate 16: Coal Battle30-1
Gate 17: Sandman6-1
Gate 18: Sovereignty5-1
Gate 19: Chunk of God30-1
Gate 20: Owen Almighty30-1

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2025 Kentucky Derby SBG Odds Value Play Overview

Burnham Square: Gate 9, 12-1

Namely, Burnham Square is owned by Whitham Thoroughbreds, trained by Ian Wilkes, and ridden by Brian Joseph Hernandez Jr. He has compiled over $927,000 in career online betting earnings. Last time out, Burnham Square won the Grade 1 Blue Grass at Keeneland on a fast, dirt track. Second place went to East Avenue, with the River Thames finishing third.

On March 1, 2025, Burnham Square fan in the Grade 2 Fountain of Youth at Gulfstream Park. Namely, Sovereignty was the winner with River Thames second and Burning Glory third. Burnham Square finished out of the money in fourth place. The track was dirt and fast. Previously, on February 1, 2025, Burnham Square ran in the Grade 3 Holy Bull on a fast, dirt track. Burnham Square was the winner, with Tappan Street second and Burning Glory third.

Additionally, Burnham Square won a mile and sixteenth MSW race at Gulfstream Park on December 28, 2024.

Tiztastic: Gate 14, 20-1

Tiztastic enters the week as a potential sleeper with the Kentucky Derby Odds. Correlate that Tiztastic is owned by Winchell Thoroughbreds, trained by Steven Asmussen, and ridden by Joel Rosario. In sum, his career earnings are $1.3 million.
Last time out was a big one for Tiztastic, setting the stage for a potential Kentucky Derby win. On March 22, 2025, Tiztastic won the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds on a fast, dirt track. Chunk of Gold was second and Instant Replay third.
Previously, on February 23, 2025, Tiztastic ran in the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes at Oaklawn Park on a fast, dirt track.

Tiztastic finished out of the money behind the winner, Goal Battle. Second Place went to Madaket Road, and Sandman was third. On January 25, 2025, Tiztastic ran in the Grade 3 Southwest Stakes on a fast, dirt track at Oaklawn Park. Tiztastic finished third behind the winner Speed King and Sandman. Specifically, the race that set Tiztastic apart was the 2024 Kentucky Downs Juvenile Mile at Kentucky Downs. The track was firm turf on September 8, 2024. Tiztastic won the 1-mile race with West Beach Second and Ready for Peace third.