On Wednesday, two proud teams from the English Premier League will clash in the second leg of their Carabao Cup matchup. Manchester City hosts Newcastle United.
Following its 2-0 win in the first leg, Manchester City is the overwhelming favorite. Especially given that they are the home team, casual sector gamblers respect the powerful Manchester City brand. In the first leg between these teams, Antoine Semenyo scored his second goal in as many games for his new club as Manchester City secured a precious Carabao Cup semifinal advantage over holders Newcastle.
The £62.5 million eligible winger, despite having already played for Bournemouth in the competition this season, after a rule change. Correlate that he struck eight minutes after half-time before substitute Rayan Cherki added a brilliant second at the death to ensure the eight-times winners will defend a 2-0 lead when the sides reconvene at the Etihad Stadium on Wednesday, Feb. 4, for the second leg.
The Carabao Cup is one of the most cherished possessions in English Football. Thus, competition is fierce, while fan interest and EPL betting odds betting traffic are at their peak.
2026 Carabao Cup – Second Leg Manchester City vs. Newcastle United
| Date and Time: | Wednesday, February 4, 2026, 3 p.m. ET |
|---|---|
| Location: | Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England |
| TV Coverage: | Paramount+ |
| Betting Online Odds at SBG: | Click Here |
Manchester City is in a commanding position to reach its first Carabao Cup final since 2021. By contrast, Newcastle, the current defending champions of the competition, must win by at least two goals to force extra time or three to advance outright.
Manchester City vs. Newcastle United Betting Odds Analysis
Manchester City is a -130 favorite with Newcastle United a +285 dog. Draw is priced at +285. The total goals are at 2.5, -160 over and +120 under. Of major concern is that Newcastle United has a depleted lineup.
Consider that key starters Sven Botman, Fabian Schär, and Tino Livramento are ruled out, and captain Bruno Guimarães remains a major sports betting doubt with an ankle injury. Manchester City has the advantage with a 2-0 aggregate lead.
The team with the most total goals across both games advances to the final at Wembley. Cause by Manchester City won the first game 2–0, Newcastle must win the second leg by at least two goals to have a chance of advancing.
Despite a solid EPL betting run, Manchester City have drawn their last three league games. As a result, the Blues are six points behind Arsenal. Nathan Aké is expected to help shore up a defense missing Ruben Dias and John Stones.
Additionally, Erling Haaland is expected to begin regaining his scoring form, with support from an in-form Phil Foden. Meanwhile, Newcastle United is aiming to repeat its 1-0 win over City earlier this season. They have a 100% record in previous League Cup semi-finals. Key players like Anthony Gordon and Bruno Guimarães are available to make an impact.
Manchester City vs. Newcastle Free SBG Picks
The key matchup for the second leg is Erling Haaland vs. Sven Botman/Malick Thiaw. Haaland remains City’s primary threat with 20 goals this season. Of major concern is that Newcastle’s defense is heavily depleted. Consider that Sven Botman is a major doubt with a tight thigh, potentially leaving Malick Thiaw to lead a patchwork backline.
Haaland should get his chances against injury-ravaged Newcastle United. Thus, Thiaw will face a heavy burden to stop him, with no margin for error. Thus, Thiaw is likely going to be overmatched, giving Man City an advantage with the odds.
Manchester City vs. Newcastle SBG Best Bet: Manchester City.