Bookmaker – Week 1 NFL Picks

Who is going to win this week in the NFL and cover the point spread at the bookmaker?.

Let’s take a look at each of the 16 games and make a pick against the online bookmaker point spread.

Action for Week 1 started with the Saints and Vikings on Thursday night but since that was a game early in the week we will move to Sunday’s games.

The first game on the board for Sunday at Sbg has Carolina visiting the New York Giants. The Panthers are getting a TD in this game and the Giants defense has not proven they can stop anyone.  We’ll go with the Panthers plus the points.

The Miami Dolphins are extremely focused on winning this contest as they don’t want a bad start to the year. They should run all over the Bills defense that was horrible against the run last season, Take the Dolphins and lay the points. The Lions visit the Bears and Detroit is going to be a lot better this season. Detroit gets the cover and perhaps the outright win. Oakland goes into Tennessee to face the Titans. The Raiders can’t stop the run so Chris Johnson should have a big day.  The public is all over Tennessee in this game though so the Raiders plus the points are the pick. Cincinnati visits New England in what should be a high scoring game. Look for the game to go over the total.

The Steelers are getting no love without Ben Roethlisberger but they are at home and the public loves the Falcons. That means we take the Steelers plus the points. The ugly game of the week has Cleveland and Tampa Bay and whenever ugly dogs meet we take the points so the Browns are the pick here.
Denver is getting a lot of points at Jacksonville and Kyle Orton is a lot better quarterback than people think. We’ll go with Denver plus the points. The Texans never seem to beat the Colts but this line is low so we’ll go with something more sure and that is the over. The Cardinals and Rams have new quarterbacks. In the case of unknowns we’ll take the points and go with St. Louis.

Big Public Play – The public loves Green Bay this week. When the public thinks something is for sure we go the other way and that means Philadelphia plus the points at the online bookmaker.

Late Games – Flip a coin with San Francisco at Seattle.  The public likes the 49ers so we’ll take the Seahawks. Sunday night it is Dallas at Washington and despite the Cowboys preseason struggles well pick the Cowboys.

Monday Games – The Jets at home on Monday night laying less than a field goal at the bookmaker?  Works for me.  The late game has Kansas City hosting San Diego and a home dog getting points in the late game is the way to go.