If you wake up Sunday morning and start to look over the NFL gambling board at an offshore bookmaking site in a rush to come up with a list of plays, you are already too late and don't stand a long term chance of success. Without preparation, there is no profit or success at gambling.
Bookie value is the key thing when looking at offshore bookmaking odds. The methodology that you utilize to make selections against the bookie odds should be entirely based on board value. Value is everything and without it you have nothing when wagering against bookie odds. Orient yourself to becoming an expert at value recognition and realize that any methodology that is not based on value is a loser and adds to your disadvantage of ten-percent, which is the bookie “vig.”
Keep in mind though that you want something simple as you look for value against the bookie odds. You do not want to wager based on the same information and rationale as the masses as that has no value and will get you nowhere versus the bookie odds. Instead, try and wager from an offshore bookmaking perspective as that ties into finding value. If you can learn to think from their perspective you can have a much better chance of success versus the bookie odds.
When you are analyzing the bookie odds, there is no need to come up with complicated formulas. Just check important items such as a team's offensive and defensive rushing statistics, turnover ratio, etc. You will find that anything beyond that is a waste of time. It can be called information overload as you look at bookie odds information. Use the keep it simple stupid method and avoid looking at too many things. Offshore bookmaking sites are in business for a reason and it is not because gamblers continue to win money. Keep things simple, look for value versus the bookie odds and avoid going with the hype and you can have a chance versus the bookie odds.
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