As we consider the Super Bowl betting matchup it is easy to see why.
Super Bowl betting is about finding the winner of the game. Most of the time in Super Bowl history the winner of the game also covers the spread. So, as we look at the Super Bowl matchup, which team is most likely to win the game? If you said New England, you are correct. The Patriots are a perfect 18-0 coming into the game, yet many bettors are siding with New York in Super Bowl betting. Why?
Let’s break down the Super Bowl matchup in basic terms. We’ll look at offense, defense, special teams and coaching. When the Giants have the ball they will be looking to pass. Eli Manning proved in week #17 that he can move the ball against the New England secondary. That may be the only minor edge the Giants have in Super Bowl betting for the game. New England holds a big edge when their offense is on the field. They were the highest scoring team in NFL history and the Giants didn’t do much in slowing them down in their first meeting as New England put up 38 points. Both teams are capable of running the ball on occasion but neither has a huge rushing edge on the other’s defense. The offensive edge goes to New England as you look at the Super Bowl betting matchup. They averaged about two touchdowns more per game during the regular season than the Giants.
Defensively the teams are pretty even for this Super Bowl betting matchup. The Patriots hold a slight edge in points allowed and yards allowed per game but it is not a huge edge. Overall the defenses rank even in Super Bowl betting. Neither of the teams has great special teams and both kickers are unknown in pressure situations. Special teams and the kicking game look even in this Super Bowl betting matchup. The coaching edge goes big to New England. Bill Belichick has won three Super Bowls and knows how to win. Tom Coughlin is lucky he still has a job. He was nearly fired before the season began. The coaching edge is big to New England in Super Bowl betting.
The two big edges in Super Bowl betting for the Patriots are on offense and in coaching. Those two edges should be enough to get New England a win in Super Bowl XLII.