A popular computer simulation had the Patriots winning by a score of 31-21. That would mean the Super Bowl betting winners would be gamblers that wagered on the Giants and the under.
Super Bowl betting odds will always be shaded towards the favorite and the over because that is what the public will bet. Early Super Bowl betting odds had the wise guys taking the Giants and the under because that is where the value is. The problem with that strategy in Super Bowl betting odds is that it doesn’t always work. Favorites are above .500 in Super Bowl betting and the games have traditionally gone over the total. In the days leading up to the Super Bowl the public will bet New England and the over and both Super Bowl betting numbers will rise.
When the public looks at Super Bowl betting they don’t care about value. They want to take the better team and hope they cover the spread. That is why New England is such a heavy favorite. Simulations show that the Giants have just a 1 in 4 chance of winning the Super Bowl outright. Some wise guys think the Giants can cover the Super Bowl betting pointspread but it may not work out that way. Most Super Bowls are not close and if there is a blowout it will be in favor of New England. The Patriots have a clear offensive edge in the game as they have the best offense the NFL has ever seen. Patriots’ quarterback Tom Brady and receiver Randy Moss set NFL records this season. New England has an edge at every offensive position.
The defensive edge goes to the Giants but not by much. If New England can neutralize the Giant’s front four then the game will be a rout. Unless New York pressures Brady he will pick apart a secondary that has been riddled by injuries. The Patriots are big Super Bowl betting favorites because experts believe Tom Brady will have a big day against New York. These experts are not nearly as confident in Eli Manning having a big day against the New England defense.
Super Bowl betting for Super Bowl XLII shows a two week break between the Championship games and the Super Bowl, giving bettors plenty of time to bet the big game.