If the Colts win this game they clinch the AFC South and a playoff spot but a loss would open the door for Jacksonville to win the division. The Colts are expected to win though as they are 9.5 point favorites in NFL betting at SBG.
Colts Looking Better
A few weeks ago the Colts didn't look like a playoff team. That has changed in the past few games. They are now stopping the run on defense and they are running the ball on offense. They stuffed Maurice Jones-Drew two weeks ago and last week they shutdown Darren McFadden. Now they will get Chris Johnson this week. They held McFadden to just 45 yards last week.
Colts Still Need to Win
This is still a critical game for the Colts because if they lose against Tennessee and Jacksonville beats Houston, the Jaguars will win the division. The teams would be tied but the Jaguars would win the tiebreaker based on their record within the division. If the Colts win as expected they will make the playoffs and if they get some help this week from the Raiders they could actually be the third seed. If the Chiefs lose then the Colts would move up ahead of Kansas City in the playoff seeds.
Indianapolis has won seven of the last ten straight up against the Titans but they are just 4-6 in NFL betting in those games. The Colts won 30-28 at Tennessee just a few weeks ago but they didn't cover the spread in one of the worst beats of the year as the Titans scored on the last play of the game to cover. The Colts have won and covered the last two meetings at Indianapolis as they won 27-17 last season and 23-0 two years ago. The Colts are 4-3 ATS at home this season. The Colts are a team that goes over the total a lot but at home that is not always the case with only three games going over this season. Tennessee is just 3-4 against the odds at the NFL betting site in road games this season. They have gone over the total in four of their seven road games this season.