The Falcons are 8-2 on the season and tied for the best record in the NFL while the Packers are a game behind at 7-3. The Packers are getting a lot of respect in NFL betting though as they are just 2-point underdogs, even though this game is in Atlanta.
Falcons -2, total 48 at the Sbg sportsbook
If you just look at the records of the two teams you have to wonder why this number is not higher. Atlanta has one more win than Green Bay plus they are at home, yet the number is only two. That probably tells us that the odds makers like Green Bay in this contest. The Packers are definitely looking like Super Bowl contenders with a powerful offense led by Aaron Rodgers and a stout defense led by Clay Mathews.
Atlanta Unbeaten at Home
The Falcons are 5-0 this season at home and there is no question they play better in the Georgia Dome than they do on the road. Quarterback Matt Ryan is very effective in front of the home fans and the Falcons are extremely difficult to beat at home. They are unbeaten this year and last year the only two teams to beat them in the Georgia Dome were the Philadelphia Eagles and the Super Bowl champion Saints. In terms of statistics, the Falcons have a top ten offense and a top ten defense. They are up against a Green Bay team though that is also top ten in scoring and even better on defense.
Green Bay Trends
The Packers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings against the Falcons.
The Falcons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite. The Falcons are 5-2 in NFL betting vs. a team with a winning record. The Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in November.
The Under is 5-0 in NFL betting online in the Packers last 5 road games. The Under is 7-3 in the Packers last 10 games overall. The Over is 5-0 in the Falcons last 5 games overall. The Over is 4-1 in the Falcons last 5 home games. The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between the two teams.