Both teams are fighting for position in the AFC East and this is a critical game as the teams reach the midpoint of the season. Football betting odds have the Bills about a 5.5 point favorite in this game.
NFL betting history shows that the Bills have won six of the last ten meetings between the two teams. Buffalo has covered 7 of those meetings according to football betting numbers. Last year the Bills won both games against the Jets including 17-14 at home according to NFL betting statistics. Since 2003, the Bills have won four of the five games against New York at home according to NFL betting stats. They are 3-1-1 versus the football betting pointspread in those games. The Bills have been a super home favorite since 2005, winning over 70% of the time according to NFL betting stats.
The Jets haven’t been a very good road underdog in recent seasons, losing almost 60% of the time since 2005 according to football betting numbers. Perhaps with Brett Favre at quarterback that will change but so far it hasn’t as the Jets are below .500 on the road getting points again this year according to NFL betting stats. Favre has upgraded the Jets to some extent but oftentimes the Jets are overvalued.
The NFL betting total is interesting to consider in this game. Both meetings last year went under the football betting total but the previous five games went over. At Buffalo, three of the last five meetings have gone over the NFL betting number. An interesting NFL betting trend to consider in regards to the total comes from the Jets. They have gone under the total more than 70% of the time on the road since 2005 according to NFL betting numbers. The Bills are a slight over team at home since 2005 according to NFL betting numbers. Looking at the total in this game we find that the Favre factor is huge as it is the first time the total has been more than 40 in a game where the Jets played the Bills since 2002.
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