NFL Betting – Buffalo at New England

NFL betting handicappers have what looks to be a mismatch as the New England Patriots host the Buffalo Bills in an AFC East Division pairing on Sunday.

Kickoff on CBS is set for 1:05 PM Eastern and Sbg sportsbook opened with New England as a 14-point home favorite and with an over/under of 42.5

Bad Losses Last Week
Both teams are coming off disappointing performances but particularly the New England Patriots as they were handled badly in a 28-14 loss at New York against a Jets team that was considered overrated after their opening night loss to Baltimore.  The Patriots were a 3-point favorite after their big opening day home win over Cincinnati as the oddsmakers made a line that was reflective of a gambling public that overreacted to the week one results and was dying to make a NFL Bet on New England and against the Jets.  The Patriots have gone over the total in both of their games.

Buffalo was destroyed at Green Bay 34-7 as 12.5-point road dogs to fall to 0-2 on the season and without yet covering a game.  Both of the Bills games have gone under the total. 

Edwards Out…AGAIN!
Buffalo quarterback Trent Edwards lost his job last year, got it back in training camp this year, but has lost it yet again after two bad games in which he had a QB rating of 58.3.   Ryan Fitzpatrick, who won the job from Edwards last year only to lose it back this year, is back in the saddle again, but will it matter?  Neither quarterback has distinguished himself.  The Bills offense ranks dead last for yardage and scoring.

Brady Looks to Rebound
The New England Patriots are stable at quarterback with Tom Brady, who just signed a new extension for a massive payday.  Brady was less than stellar at New York as he tossed 2 interceptions and had a QB rating of 72.5 which was a key reason for the NFL betting loss.  New England’s young and revamped defense is also struggling as it ranks 26th in the NFL.

TrendsThe chalk has been the smart NFL bet in this series with 6 payouts in the last 7 matchups and the Pats have paid out in 6 of their last 7 at home against the Bills.  The two teams have combined to go under the total in 9 out of their last 11 matchups at New England.