This will be the feature game on Sunday afternoon on CBS and it should be a great one. The Colts come into the game at 6-3 while the Patriots are 7-2. The total in NFL betting lines on this game is 50.5 at SBG.
The Colts and Patriots have developed a great rivalry even though they are not in the same division. Each team has a great quarterback with Indianapolis being led by Peyton Manning while the Patriots have Tom Brady. The Patriots with Brady at the helm are 7-4 against Manning and the Colts including two wins in three playoff games.
Colts Surviving Injuries
The Colts are leading the AFC South even though they have been hurt by injuries. Tight end Dallas Clark, wide receivers Austin Collie and Anthony Gonzalez and running backs Joseph Addai and Mike Hart are missing on the offensive side while Bob Sanders and Melvin Bullitt are hurt on the defensive side. It hasn’t mattered as the Colts have still found ways to win. The Colts have plugged in Jacob Tamme at tight end and he has 24 catches in the last three games for 245 yards and two touchdowns.
Recent Series History
The Colts never seemed to win at New England as Manning lost his first seven career starts at New England. He has won his last two though with 647 yards and five TDs. Those wins came in November of 2005 and 2006. Winning at New England this time will be extremely difficult against Brady and the Patriots. Brady has won his last 24 regular-season home starts. That is one behind the NFL record set by Brett Favre.
The Colts are 5-1 against the football odds in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Colts are 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 road games. The Patriots are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Patriots are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Colts are 4-1-1 against the NFL betting lines in their last 6 meetings between the two teams and the underdog is 11-3-2 ATS in their last 16 meetings. In this game everyone is going to want to bet the total over. Do the trends support that? The Over is 7-1 in the Colts last 8 road games and the Over is 4-1 in the Patriots last 5 home games so it looks good.