Let's take a look at what goes into the Super Bowl betting lines along with how to read what you see, in order to best uncover value.
Bet Super Bowl odds almost always overvalue the favorite. Teams such as the Indianapolis Colts, New England Patriots, and Pittsburgh Steelers carry a lot of public respect and, as a result, consumer demand. This means that such teams will often be laying more points than they should be in Super Bowl betting odds.
On the other hand, teams such as the New York Giants or Tampa Bay Buccaneers don’t get as much respect in Super Bowl betting. That means they can be a great wager in Bet Super Bowl action. It happened last year when the Giants upset the heavily favored New England Patriots in Super Bowl betting. Not very many people were giving much respect to the Giants considering the Patriots were trying to complete an undefeated season yet the Giants won the game outright. That can happen in Super Bowls when the public falls in love with one team over another.
Keep in mind that perception is not reality in bet Super Bowl lines and that the difference between public perception of a team and the reality of their ability is the ultimate bet Super Bowl value equation. The greater the difference, the greater the potential value will be as you bet Super Bowl lines.
The public has a very short memory when they bet Super Bowl, and is very forgiving, or unforgiving, depending on circumstances. In the minds of the bet Super Bowl public, it is a very short distance from the penthouse to the outhouse, and vice versa. There is too much stock put into the recent performance of a team and it is very “rear view mirror” oriented. The best gamblers that bet Super Bowl odds keep a long range approach and vision.
Oftentimes, however, the bet Super Bowl odds will be disproportionately influenced on what happened in the previous week. It is all about perception as you bet Super Bowl odds.
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