Alabama is a four-point college football betting favorite in BCS Bowl betting with a total of 45.
BCS Bowl betting has Alabama favored on the money line as well but Texas could be worth a shot. Alabama is -190 while Texas is +160. BCS Bowl betting history definitely favors the underdog on Thursday. Take a look back in BCS Bowl betting and you will see that the 2002 Miami Hurricanes, 2003 Oklahoma Sooners, 2005 USC Trojans, 2006 Ohio State, 2007 Ohio State and 2008 Oklahoma were all ranked #1 and lost. Yes, six of the last seven BCS Bowl betting winners including the last four were the underdog in the BCS Championship. That does not bode well for Alabama in college football betting.
Alabama will be trying to break the BCS Bowl betting trend while Texas will try and keep it going as an underdog. “One of the things about being an underdog is that it’s easier to keep an edge than it was last year when we were favored against Ohio State,” Texas coach Mack Brown said. Why has the favorite struggled so much in BCS Bowl betting? One reason is the huge layoff between the end of the season and the title game. The top team in the country hears about how great they are while the #2 team gets no credit. The #1 team is oftentimes overvalued in BCS Bowl betting and the value is oftentimes with the underdog.
Can Alabama break the trend in BCS Bowl betting against Texas? Head coach Nick Saban has done all he can over the past month to tell his team they are not the greatest team ever. He has been telling anyone that will listen that his team can’t win without a big effort.
BCS Bowl betting indicates that the Longhorns are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog but they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 bowl games. The Longhorns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The Crimson Tide are 5-1 in college football betting in their last 6 vs. the Big 12.Five of the last eight Alabama games overall have gone under the college football betting total.