Florida finally started to get things going last week in a win over South Florida while Tennessee fell apart against Oregon. The Gators are 14-point favorites at Sbgglobal. This is the SEC game that CBS chose for Saturday. Whether it turns out to be competitive is in debate.
Hard to Like Tennessee – It is really hard to like Tennessee this week. In fact, it may be hard to like Tennessee in any game this season. They are just not any good. Oregon ran up and down the field on them in the second half last week and it got ugly. Florida might be able to do the same thing. Derek Dooley is in his first season as Tennessee’s head coach and he has a lot of work to do. The Volunteers are a very young team and they are in over their head this season. The Vols gave up 447 total yards to Oregon last week so unless Florida totally lays an egg they should win easily. The only thing that might point to Tennessee is that the Volunteers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
Florida 4-1 at Tennessee Since 1998 – The Gators have had a lot of success at Tennessee, winning four of the last five meetings. Florida has some other positive trends in their favor as well. The Gators are 11-3 against the college football betting odds in their last 14 road games and they are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games on grass. Florida is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Tennessee. The one negative is that they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Total numbers – Five of the last six Florida road games have gone under the total and eight of the last ten Florida conference games have gone under. The last four Tennessee games overall have gone over and five of their last six home games have gone over. In this series, four of the last five have gone under. With Florida’s defense it might not be a bad college football bet to take this game under the total.