After all they are only laying a touchdown at home to Mississippi State in NCAA betting. That sounds pretty good right?
When something looks too good to be true it usually is. The Gators are still ranked in the Top 25 but they are not an elite football team. And Mississippi State is not a bad team with head coach Dan Mullen running the show. Florida is a 7-point favorite with a total of 47.5 at Sbg global.com in this game that can be seen on ESPN U.
State Nearly Won Last Year – A year ago the Bulldogs nearly beat Florida and that was when they had Tim Tebow. This is not the same Florida team.
Mullen has said that this week’s game is the type of game that his team needs to start winning. The Bulldogs are 4-2 overall this season and 1-2 in the SEC. They need two more wins to become bowl eligible. Running back Vick Ballard has already gone on record saying that the Bulldogs will pull of the upset win on Saturday.
Gators are Beatable – There is no question that Florida is beatable. They have lost their last two games against Alabama and LSU. Can you say a three-game losing streak for Urban Meyer? It is not as far-fetched as it sounds. The Gators could lose this game outright and Mississippi State is worth considering as you bet college football. Florida is just 96th in the country in total yards per game so you have to figure they won’t blow out Mississippi State even if they get the outright win.
NCAA Betting Stats – The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October. The Bulldogs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog. The Gators are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite. The Gators are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games. The Gators are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October. The Bulldogs are 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings against Florida. The Over is 4-1 in the Gators last 5 home games.