Usually in NBA Finals betting the public is going to bet the favorite and the home team. The one exception to that rule is when a marquee team happens to be on the road. Let’s consider NBA Finals odds value and what to look for.
NBA Finals odds home court advantage is important, but in the NBA Finals every game is critical and the home court advantage is often overpriced. The value is with the road team in NBA Finals betting. We get added value on the road team in the NBA Finals and also get the opportunity to take them on the money line. If the road team is going to cover they very often will win the game straight up in NBA Finals odds.
This is similar in some respects to Super Bowl betting because that is an instance where the public will bet the money line underdog. It seems that if the public likes a team in a big marquee game they don’t care about the NBA Finals odds pointspread. This applies in NBA Finals odds as well. Usually the public will take the home team and lay the points in NBA Finals betting. If they do happen to like the underdog then they will consider playing the money line.
Another factor that can lead us to value in NBA Finals odds is the popular zig-zag theory. This is where we take the loser of the previous game. It is as simple as it gets. We take the losing team to bounce back strong in the next game in NBA Finals odds. In addition to that theory we don’t want to forget about the series price in NBA Finals betting. Sometimes we can find value in NBA Finals odds by looking at the series price.
Consider the road team, the previous game loser and the series price as you look for value in NBA Finals odds. These are three simple things to keep in mind as you bet NBA Finals odds this year.