Houston leads the all-time series over Miami, 25-21 but they are 11-12 on the road against the Heat. The Heat won back in January by a score of 115-106 in NBA betting against the Rockets in Houston.
Basketball betting had Dwyane Wade scoring 37 points in the January win for the Heat. Jermaine O’Neal had one of his best games of the season in that game has he had 16 points (8-15 FG), 13 rebounds and four blocks. All five Miami starters scored in double-figures in that win. That victory for Miami broke a three-game losing streak for the Heat against the Rockets. In the last ten games, Houston is 6-4 straight up and 7-3 against the NBA betting odds. At Miami, the Rockets are 2-2 straight up and 3-1 against the basketball betting odds in the last four meetings. Five of the last six in this series have gone over the total.
Houston has not done well lately vs. the basketball betting odds as they are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall. They have done well against teams from the Southeast Division as they are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 vs. that division. Houston is just 2-7 vs. the NBA betting odds in their last 9 road games. The Rockets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings against Miami.
The Heat are 1-4 in basketball betting in their last 5 games overall. The Heat are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Southwest Division.
12 of the last 17 Houston road games have gone under the basketball betting total. The last four Miami home games have gone under the total. In this series at Miami, six of the last eight have gone over. Houston has been a weird team when it comes to the total. They go over the total more at home but on the road they go under. The Rockets are 11th in the NBA in scoring and 18th on defense so it would seem that they would be a team that goes over the NBA betting total. Miami is 8th on defense but 25th on offense so they should be a team that goes under. At home that has been the case with 15 of their 25 games going under the basketball betting total.