The Twins will be the slight favorite in MLB betting odds since they are at home but the Rangers have the pitching edge in this game.
Baseball betting odds favor the Twins at home most of the time. Minnesota has been very good at the new Target Field. They will have to be good on Saturday since they will be facing Texas pitcher C.J. Wilson. He is 3-2 on the season with a 3.07 ERA. Wilson was going great this season but he has hit a speed bump and in his last two starts his ERA is over ten. He has given up three home runs in his last two games. He is 0-1 with a 2.35 ERA and three saves in his career against Minnesota.
The Twins are expected to go with Carl Pavano on Saturday. He is 4-5 with a 4.17 ERA this season. He pitched well last time out against the Brewers as he pitched eight innings and struck out five. The Twins haven’t given Pavano a lot of run support this season as they have scored just 23 runs in his nine starts. Pavano has lost four of his last five starts overall but he has pitched at least six innings in seven of his nine starts.
Before this series began yesterday, the Twins had won 11 of their last 20 games against Texas. The Twins won six of the ten games against Texas last season. The teams played only one series at Minnesota and the Twins won two of the three. All three of those games went under the baseball betting total.
Texas has been far better at home this season vs. the MLB betting odds than on the road. The Rangers can struggle at times on the road. The Rangers can score as they are in the Top 10 in the league in runs scored. Their pitching is the key as they have the ability to be good.
The Twins have also been far better at home than on the road. Minnesota has continued their home success even at the new Target field. The Twins are right outside the top 10 in the league in both runs scored and fewest runs against.