It might look like the best game of the year, but laying 2-1 or 3-1 on a baseball betting game is something that is tough to do. Anything can happen in baseball betting. You might have Johan Santana on the mound and he goes a great 8 innings and the bullpen blows the game in the 9th. You might have Jake Peavy pitch a shutout into the 9th inning only to see someone out of the bullpen give up a home run to lose the bet for you.
It happens in baseball betting more often than it should. Just because a team is a -200 or -300 favorite does not automatically mean they are a guaranteed winner. Remember if you are laying -200 on a game and it loses you have to win two more games to make up for it. You have to win 67% of your games just to break even laying -200 a game. If you are laying -300 you have to win 75% of your games just to break even. That is a high wining percentage. There are too many things that can happen in the course of a nine-inning baseball game and that makes betting baseball favorites a risky proposition.
So many things are out of your control when it comes to betting baseball. Your -200 favorite might get into an unexpected game. You might lose a pitcher’s duel 2-1 or 1-0. You really have to be careful laying the big wood in baseball betting.
One theory is to stay away from the big favorites in baseball gambling. Some baseball betting experts won’t lay more than -150 or so on a favorite. That might not be a bad theory although making it -175 or so may give you a few more plays.
You also have to remember when betting favorites to remember money management. Betting favorites in baseball means you have to win more than the average. That means you will have streaks and slumps along the way. That is what happens during the long baseball season. The baseball betting season is a marathon that requires discipline.