Handicapping Baseball Betting Totals

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There is an old baseball adage that pitching is 90% of the game. Judging from the 2005 Major League Baseball results; that statement bears tremendous wisdom and insight.

There are many different factors that baseball betting players look at when considering baseball handicapping. The first and most obvious part of a baseball matchup that a baseball betting player must analyze is the starting pitcher of both teams.  Baseball betting players must look at how well the starting pitcher is doing for the season and in recent starts.  The baseball handicapper has to look at many starting pitching factors like whether or not each pitcher has had success against the other team.

That information will need to be broken down further into home/away statistics because some pitchers perform well at home and seem to flop on the road. MLB betting for many people starts and ends with the starting pitcher.  It is not only the bettors that do their expert baseball handicapping based entirely on starting pitchers, but it is the oddsmaker as well.  Starting pitchers are completely overrated sometimes in terms of the MLB betting line and in handicapping baseball totals.  Oddsmakers don’t consider any other factor when making their baseball betting line and that is definitely a mistake. 

What also happens with the inflated MLB betting line is that when a pitcher doesn’t live up to his reputation there is a ton of value on the other side in baseball betting.  The oddsmaker makes his baseball betting line based on the starting pitcher and nothing else.  How often do you see a starting pitcher go just 6 or 7 innings when you are considering free baseball handicapping picks?  It happens nearly every game when you look at betting on baseball.  So what we get is the oddsmaker making his MLB betting line based on 2/3rds of a game.  What the baseball wagering odds should reflect is the starting pitcher, the bullpen and the team’s overall strength. We know that the starting pitcher is the first main expert baseball handicapping factor but not the only one.

The next main part of baseball handicapping is the team performance.  This is similar in many respects to the pitcher performance as you consider free baseball handicapping picks.  Look at how a team has done in their past few games and then look at how they have done recently against their opponent as you consider 2007 MLB baseball betting.  Look at whether or not the team is coming off an emotional series, starting a road trip, whether or not the game is revenge, etc. These are all important factors to take into account when looking at baseball handicapping or when you are handicapping baseball totals. Another part of expert baseball handicapping in your 2007 MLB baseball betting looks at intangibles like umpires, ballpark, weather, etc.

Another important factor to consider when betting on baseball is injuries as you consider free baseball handicapping picks.  It could be that a team is playing poorly since a key player got hurt. Look at the recent news for the team and make sure no key players are injured in 2007 MLB baseball betting.  There will also be occasions when starters are rested as you consider handicapping baseball totals.  Also take a look at a team’s bullpen and make sure they are not overly worked as you consider free baseball handicapping picks.  All of these factors should be taken into account when you look at expert baseball handicapping.

What if we have a very good team with just an average starting pitcher?  This team is almost always going to be undervalued.  Since the oddsmaker bases his baseball wagering line on starting pitching, a team that is very good that doesn’t have the marquee starters will be undervalued when betting on baseball. When we look at betting on baseball it is beneficial to look beyond the starting pitcher.  We need to do a better job than the oddsmaker and look at bullpens, home/away numbers, team batting, and other intangible factors when handicapping baseball totals and sides in 2007 MLB baseball betting.