The Rangers have the home field advantage in this series but it is the Yankees who are favored in MLB betting in this series and in Game 1 on Friday.
Series Price – The Yankees are -155 at SBG to win the ALCS. Keep in mind that the series is 2-3-2 with the Rangers having the home field edge. The problem with that 2-3-2 format for the Rangers is that they have to face Sabathia in Game 1. In fact, they would probably have to face Sabathia three times if this series goes seven games. The best pitcher for Texas is Cliff Lee but since he pitched on Tuesday in the win over Tampa Bay he can’t go until Game 3. And he can only pitch twice in this series.
Game 1 – Sabathia vs. Wilson – The first game of the series on Friday in Texas has CC Sabathia going for the Yankees against the Rangers C.J. Wilson. The Yankees are -137 at the Sbg sportsbook and the total on the game is 8.5 under.
Season Series – The Yankees and Rangers split their season series with each team winning four games. The Yankees outscored the Rangers in the eight games by a combined 39-33. The Yankees swept the Rangers at Yankee Stadium back in April but they lost four of five against Texas in Arlington. The key for the Rangers is Lee but he can only pitch once in the first five games. He will likely go in Game 3 in New York. He could come back on short rest in Game 6 or be saved for Game 7.
In the first round, home field advantage was worthless as the home team lost ever game in the Tampa-Texas series. The Rangers still like the advantage of starting this series at home. Here are some betting stats to consider. The Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Yankees are 15-7 in their last 22 vs. the American League West. The Yankees are 2-9 in baseball betting in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Yankees are 20-8 in Sabathia’s last 28 road starts. The Rangers are 6-0 in MLB betting in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Rangers are 15-3 in Wilson’s last 18 home starts.