In a 20-horse field it is important to immediately toss out the pretenders in Kentucky Derby betting.
2010 Kentucky odds list Eskendereya as the favorite and that is a horse who can definitely win the race. Others like Lookin at Lucky and Sidney’s Candy have a chance to win. Other horses have very little chance of winning and it is these pretenders we want to get rid of as we get ready for Kentucky Derby betting.
It should be noted that most people threw out Mine That Bird last year as a horse that couldn’t win. Sometimes a huge upset happens in the Kentucky Derby but you still have to begin by throwing out horses you don’t believe can win. In this year’s Derby on Saturday, May 1st that begins with throwing out a number of horses. American Lion may have won the Illinois Derby but he is a horse that likes the front and his times are just not impressive enough to win. Conveyance is another speed horse that loves the front. He is really not bred to go 10 furlongs though and even though he has Bob Baffert as his trainer, he is unlikely to win. Dean’s Kitten doesn’t seem to fit into the Derby as he has done nothing to indicate he is ready for prime time. Discreetly Mine is another throw out horse in 2010 Kentucky odds. He is trained by Todd Pletcher but he simply doesn’t have the class to win this race.
D.Wayne Lukas trains Dublin but this horse has had multiple chances to win and rarely does. He has already gone against Lookin At Lucky, Noble's Promise, and Super Saver and had his chanes. He is winless in his last five races and those type of horses rarely win the Derby. Another horse to throw out is Homeboykris. He has never even had a 90 Beyer speed figure so he is an automatic throw away. Another pretender is Line of David. He won the Arkansas Derby but he is not likely to wire this Derby field. Stately Victor is another horse who is lucky to be in the Derby. He won the Blue Grass but it is extremely unlikely he can repeat that performance. Another horse that looks poorly placed is Paddy O'Prado. The horse belongs on the Polytrack or the turf.