Some of the best trainers in the world including Todd Pletcher have never won the Kentucky Derby. Anything can happen in Kentucky Derby wagering and the trainer is helpless to do much about it. Let’s consider the trainer in handicapping the Kentucky Derby.
Kentucky Derby odds for the 2008 race won’t even show that trainer Bob Baffert even has a horse. He has won in Kentucky Derby wagering three times but does not have a horse in the 2008 field. D. Wayne Lukas also will not have a horse in the Kentucky Derby wagering field. Todd Pletcher has two horses in the Kentucky Derby odds field, Monba and Cowboy Cal but he is 0-19 in Kentucky Derby odds history. Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott has never won the Derby. Mott will have Court Vision and Z Humor in the 2008 Kentucky Derby odds field but neither is considered a serious threat.
Many trainers have horses in the Kentucky Derby odds field for the first time including top trainer Richard Dutrow who has Kentucky Derby odds favorite Big Brown. It was thought that previous experience was a necessity for a trainer winning the Kentucky Derby but recent years have shown that is no longer the case. Trainers like Michael Matz and John Shirreffs have won in Kentucky Derby odds in recent years in their first try.
Graham Motion will be looking for his first Kentucky Derby odds win with Adriano, Eoin Harty with Colonel John, Paulo Lobo with Gayego, James Kasparoff with Bob Black Jack, David Carroll with Denis of Cork, and Bennie Stutts Jr. with Smooth Air. Even a trainer like Nick Zito who has a couple of starters in Kentucky Derby odds doesn’t win much in the Kentucky Derby. What this tells us about Kentucky Derby odds is that the trainer is now an overrated handicapping factor. Anything can happen in Kentucky Derby wagering and the trainer is one of the least important handicapping factors to consider.